NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	77		Excitement	3.8 [1065]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +15.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	1.0 [1254]		LVP	Luol Deng (CHI): -10.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Songaila	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Michael Sweetney	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Andres Nocioni	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	54%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Malik Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	64%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04	2	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Chris Duhon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	15	31%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.01	0.02	15	75%	0.19	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	68%	0.11	5	-0.07	10	70%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lawrence Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.5	30.3	16.5	25.4	2.5	26.4	133.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +39.7%

MEM +3.3%

CHI -0.9%

MEM +4.2%

MEM +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MEM	NBA	CHI	MEM	NBA
this game	13.9	18.3	15.6	85.6	106.7	104.4
season	14.4	17.1		102.6	103.5
opponent	15.7	16.1		100.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.4	12.5	15.9	13.0	13.9
MEM	16.9	17.5	18.6	20.4	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	46	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.26	8	-26	34	13.7	14.2	-0.46	17.4	19.1	-1.69
Jannero Pargo	41	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-19	20	12.6	15.0	-2.37	19.6	17.1	2.44
Malik Allen	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-14	10	14.9	13.8	1.05	13.6	18.7	-5.12
Othella Harrington	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-17	16	12.4	14.2	-1.74	15.9	18.6	-2.73
Eric Piatkowski	14	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-15	12	14.6	13.8	0.77	19.0	18.2	0.84
Ben Gordon	28	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-13	8	15.4	13.3	2.08	17.5	18.7	-1.18
Tyson Chandler	53	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-12	6	13.9	14.0	-0.13	19.1	17.2	1.91
Michael Sweetney	20	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-5	-8	15.0	13.6	1.45	17.2	18.6	-1.39
Luol Deng	62	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-12	6	13.8	14.1	-0.32	18.6	17.4	1.23
Chris Duhon	53	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-9	0	13.6	14.4	-0.73	18.5	18.0	0.50
Andres Nocioni	50	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.29	-26	8	-34	14.1	13.7	0.40	18.9	17.5	1.37
Kirk Hinrich	63	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.20	-26	8	-34	14.2	13.3	0.95	17.9	19.0	-1.02

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	71	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	2	14	18.9	15.7	3.21	13.9	14.1	-0.17
Mike Miller	75	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	4	10	18.7	15.8	2.96	13.8	14.8	-1.02
Damon Stoudamire	57	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	1	16	19.4	16.3	3.07	13.5	14.6	-1.10
Shane Battier	55	57	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	6	6	19.5	16.3	3.21	14.4	13.2	1.17
Lorenzen Wright	57	60	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.08	13	5	8	19.6	15.9	3.76	13.8	14.1	-0.22
Antonio Burks	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	12	-6	16.0	20.0	-4.01	14.7	13.3	1.45
Dahntay Jones	40	38	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	14	-10	15.7	20.3	-4.60	14.1	13.8	0.32
Hakim Warrick	20	20	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	12	-6	16.0	18.9	-2.88	13.0	14.2	-1.19
Brian Cardinal	25	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	16	-14	16.7	18.9	-2.17	14.5	13.7	0.79
Lawrence Roberts	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	15.7	18.4	-2.71	9.5	14.0	-4.52
Anthony Roberson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	15.7	18.4	-2.71	9.5	14.0	-4.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 77, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%
GSW 86, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIN 89, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.93,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%