NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	5.5 [748]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +36.6%
Miami Heat	88		Comeback	5.5 [115]		LVP	Antoine Walker (MIA): -13.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.37	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.15,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.37	0.29	0.16	0.09	25	69%	0.38	2	-0.02	24	96%	0.06
Marc Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	12	31%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	10	17%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	3	71%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	22	44%	-0.03	1	-0.04	11	36%	-0.10
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	20	33%	-0.11	1	-0.02	12	75%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.05	0.04	12	46%	-0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	33.2	17.6	28.4	2.4	41.6	152.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +39.5%

NJN +6.1%

MIA -5.9%

NJN +5.7%

NJN +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	15.6	95.0	89.8	104.4
season	15.7	15.5		102.1	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.7		102.3	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.3	16.5	14.9	12.2	14.9
MIA	11.9	14.2	17.1	14.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	93	91	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.19	16	-9	25	14.6	18.7	-4.12	14.4	11.3	3.14
Jason Kidd	78	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	2	3	14.8	15.0	-0.21	13.8	15.7	-1.96
Richard Jefferson	92	90	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.36	2	5	-3	14.7	17.0	-2.30	14.1	14.9	-0.73
Marc Jackson	36	36	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	-2	11	15.9	14.3	1.53	15.6	13.4	2.27
Nenad Krstic	63	59	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	2	3	16.0	13.0	2.94	14.3	14.0	0.30
Scott Padgett	31	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	2	3	15.3	14.7	0.55	15.4	13.6	1.74
Clifford Robinson	63	62	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	9	-11	14.3	15.9	-1.69	13.4	15.6	-2.27
Lamond Murray	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	5	-3	16.8	14.6	2.26	14.3	14.2	0.12
Jacque Vaughn	31	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	14	-21	13.1	15.7	-2.54	13.3	14.6	-1.29

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	47	49	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.16	7	-14	21	14.4	14.0	0.43	16.5	13.4	3.12
Jason Kapono	15	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-8	9	11.9	14.6	-2.68	10.8	15.7	-4.96
Dwyane Wade	81	82	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.32	9	-16	25	13.6	17.1	-3.53	14.7	15.9	-1.23
Shaquille O'Neal	61	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-12	17	14.2	14.1	0.11	16.5	12.2	4.35
James Posey	81	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-7	7	14.0	15.1	-1.03	15.0	14.4	0.53
Alonzo Mourning	30	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	8	-23	15.6	13.6	2.01	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Jason Williams	63	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	7	-21	14.3	13.9	0.41	16.1	12.6	3.47
Antoine Walker	52	52	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	6	-19	13.9	14.5	-0.56	13.1	16.8	-3.68
Gary Payton	60	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.18	-15	8	-23	15.0	12.9	2.05	13.6	16.7	-3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.14,0.15,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 108, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.68,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%
DAL 95, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0	93.7%
WAS 113, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.8,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%