NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	6.3 [570]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +31.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	3.6 [186]		LVP	Josh Howard (DAL): -14.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.31	-0.10	0.39	-0.02	23	43%	0.37	4	-0.06	10	100%	0.07
Jason Kidd	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.19	0.09	-0.02	11	100%	0.36	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	3	67%	0.03	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.03	16	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	5	70%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	13	31%	-0.05	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	7	61%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.13	0.04	15	53%	0.19	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.02	21	57%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	58%	0.04	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	13	43%	-0.02	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.0	28.1	14.8	25.2	2.5	37.8	136.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +42.1%

DAL +13.1%

PHI -11.8%

DAL +8.0%

PHI -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.5	101.1	100.0	106.4
season	15.6	15.5		108.9	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.4		105.5	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	14.2	14.1	18.7	15.5
PHI	15.6	15.2	16.6	14.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	72	72	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.36	11	-9	20	14.9	17.2	-2.25	16.4	11.8	4.57
Antoine Wright	47	46	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-3	8	15.3	15.6	-0.36	16.4	14.3	2.16
Ryan Hollins	39	40	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	-3	8	15.4	15.5	-0.17	13.9	16.5	-2.58
Dirk Nowitzki	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-2	6	15.5	15.3	0.24	16.2	11.6	4.52
Jason Terry	68	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	2	-2	15.9	14.3	1.64	14.2	18.4	-4.23
Matt Carroll	4	6	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	-3	8	12.0	15.6	-3.61	18.2	15.1	3.02
Brandon Bass	35	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	5	-8	16.0	15.1	0.91	13.7	16.2	-2.51
Josh Howard	69	66	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	8	-14	15.3	15.8	-0.47	15.5	15.0	0.54
Erick Dampier	39	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	4	-6	14.9	15.8	-0.87	16.7	14.5	2.21
Jose Juan Barea	22	21	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	11	-20	17.2	14.9	2.25	11.8	16.4	-4.57

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	32	32	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-3	4	17.6	14.2	3.38	14.8	15.8	-0.93
Lou Williams	51	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-4	6	13.7	17.4	-3.67	16.2	14.6	1.56
Samuel Dalembert	48	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	1	-4	16.3	14.3	1.96	14.4	16.6	-2.28
Thaddeus Young	70	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-6	10	15.6	14.4	1.21	15.3	15.9	-0.63
Reggie Evans	46	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-2	2	14.5	16.2	-1.67	16.5	14.4	2.11
Marreese Speights	34	34	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	8	-18	15.4	15.3	0.01	15.2	15.6	-0.44
Royal Ivey	35	35	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	0	-2	14.8	15.7	-0.92	16.1	15.1	1.00
Andre Iguodala	79	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.51	3	-5	8	15.1	16.8	-1.70	15.7	13.8	1.86
Andre Miller	70	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	3	-8	15.7	14.2	1.50	15.0	16.8	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 108, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.68,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
PHI 97, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.8%
NJN 95, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.14,0.15,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.7%