NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	8.3 [220]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +23.9%
Detroit Pistons	93		Comeback	3.3 [677]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -10.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Przybilla	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	7	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.04	0.17	-0.10	0.03	26	62%	0.11	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.09
Theo Ratliff	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	56%	0.14	2	-0.12	5	40%	-0.05
Jarrett Jack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Martell Webster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.04	4	-0.12	6	67%	-0.04
Steve Blake	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.20	0.01	16	57%	0.31	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.09
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	11	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.05
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.05
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.02	13	62%	0.10	1	-0.09	8	87%	0.04
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	12	42%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.0	27.0	17.6	27.8	1.5	41.6	140.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -6.0%

DET +24.4%

POR -2.1%

DET +21.6%

DET +12.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DET	NBA	POR	DET	NBA
this game	17.4	17.3	15.6	107.2	112.0	104.4
season	16.6	16.9		99.4	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		101.4	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.7	18.8	18.2	18.3	17.4
DET	18.9	18.1	15.4	16.8	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	34	32	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.18	0	-4	4	19.5	16.0	3.53	17.6	17.0	0.61
Joel Przybilla	34	33	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-4	4	19.1	16.3	2.73	16.9	17.5	-0.62
Charles Smith	22	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-4	4	16.1	17.9	-1.84	16.4	17.5	-1.17
Martell Webster	19	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-8	12	18.6	17.1	1.47	17.6	17.1	0.46
Ruben Patterson	51	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-3	2	17.9	16.7	1.28	16.4	18.4	-2.01
Viktor Khryapa	29	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-1	-2	16.7	17.8	-1.11	18.8	16.4	2.47
Juan Dixon	63	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.35	-4	0	-4	17.6	17.0	0.59	17.4	16.8	0.53
Theo Ratliff	48	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	0	-4	16.5	18.8	-2.34	17.5	16.9	0.62
Zach Randolph	66	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.36	-8	4	-12	17.3	18.2	-0.92	17.2	17.4	-0.24
Steve Blake	49	51	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.56	-4	0	-4	16.0	19.5	-3.53	17.0	17.6	-0.61

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	68	68	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-8	20	17.2	17.5	-0.26	17.6	16.5	1.11
Chauncey Billups	62	62	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-6	16	17.2	17.5	-0.36	17.4	17.7	-0.36
Rasheed Wallace	71	68	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.50	2	2	0	17.0	18.5	-1.46	17.5	17.3	0.22
Richard Hamilton	66	65	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-1	6	17.9	14.9	2.98	18.1	15.1	3.05
Ben Wallace	69	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	-3	10	18.1	13.0	5.12	17.5	17.4	0.07
Antonio McDyess	22	23	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	2	0	14.5	18.2	-3.68	16.8	17.7	-0.86
Carlos Delfino	10	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	7	-10	17.5	17.2	0.28	16.7	17.5	-0.85
Carlos Arroyo	21	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	10	-16	17.5	17.2	0.36	17.4	17.5	-0.11
Dale Davis	4	4	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	7	-10	21.0	17.1	3.94	22.0	17.2	4.78
Maurice Evans	22	23	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	10	-16	15.5	17.9	-2.45	15.3	18.3	-2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.63,0.86,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 76, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.9,0.83,1	91.4%
IND 92, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.44,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.55,0.64,0.95,0.9,1	91.0%
MEM 96, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.38,0.63,0.66,0.83,1	90.8%