NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	5.8 [659]		MVP	Juan Dixon (POR): +16.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	1.6 [943]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -16.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.09	0.08	21	60%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	15	43%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	5	79%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Michael Ruffin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	12	29%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	13	65%	0.17	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.12	-0.01	9	64%	0.19	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.09	-0.01	6	44%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.02	8	71%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Ha Seung-Jin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	45%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	13	30%	-0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	27.0	15.4	24.6	1.6	38.0	133.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.1%

WAS -4.6%

POR +20.1%

WAS -1.7%

POR +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	18.0	15.6	104.5	111.5	104.4
season	15.1	16.6		107.4	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.6		109.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.3	15.3	16.5	12.7	14.9
POR	16.0	19.9	17.0	19.2	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	73	75	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.37	10	-15	25	14.5	17.2	-2.72	19.0	11.8	7.14
Jared Jeffries	29	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-2	-1	17.3	13.8	3.58	15.4	19.2	-3.83
Antonio Daniels	39	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.31	7	-12	19	14.3	15.5	-1.23	20.3	16.2	4.09
Michael Ruffin	25	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-4	3	13.8	15.4	-1.60	18.8	17.7	1.14
Etan Thomas	23	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	4	-13	14.1	15.2	-1.10	18.6	17.8	0.87
Brendan Haywood	52	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-3	1	15.9	13.5	2.40	17.5	18.7	-1.12
Chucky Atkins	80	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.35	-1	-4	3	14.9	15.4	-0.47	17.9	19.4	-1.57
Gilbert Arenas	69	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	5	-15	15.2	13.9	1.27	17.5	19.8	-2.30
Caron Butler	50	47	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.21	-16	11	-27	14.4	15.7	-1.30	16.8	19.4	-2.57

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	65	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	2	1	17.7	18.9	-1.23	15.1	14.5	0.53
Viktor Khryapa	62	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	1	3	17.5	19.2	-1.76	15.8	13.1	2.64
Juan Dixon	70	71	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	6	-7	17.5	19.9	-2.43	15.3	13.5	1.75
Ruben Patterson	39	39	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	4	-3	18.3	17.7	0.53	13.2	16.3	-3.08
Jarrett Jack	48	50	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	0	5	17.1	19.0	-1.88	14.3	15.8	-1.49
Charles Smith	21	23	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	-2	9	18.4	17.8	0.58	13.2	15.6	-2.40
Steve Blake	44	45	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	8	-11	18.6	17.3	1.26	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Zach Randolph	48	48	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	1	3	17.7	18.3	-0.53	16.6	13.0	3.61
Ha Seung-Jin	20	20	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	3	-1	20.3	17.3	3.00	15.2	14.9	0.40
Martell Webster	18	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	2	1	20.3	17.4	2.96	13.6	15.3	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, POR 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.99,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	93.0%
CHI 80, HOU 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.76,0.61,0.47,0.55,0.71,0.92,1	92.5%
DEN 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.98,1	92.2%