NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	80		Excitement	7.4 [335]		MVP	Kelvin Cato (HOU): +20.9%
Houston Rockets	82		Comeback	1.7 [744]		LVP	Eddie Robinson (CHI): -18.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.2	0.01	0.20	0.00	13	46%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.06	-0.07	0.10	-0.03	13	47%	0.13	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.07
Kirk Hinrich	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Marcus Fizer	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.01	19	50%	-0.09	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	-0.05	-0.12	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.05

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.17	-0.01	4	78%	0.22	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.2	0.20	-0.11	0.28	-0.03	15	42%	0.30	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.02	13	46%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.04,0.04,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	15	61%	0.12	2	-0.13	6	100%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	7	55%	0.02	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.6	26.4	15.4	24.5	2.3	37.0	132.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +63.7%

HOU +12.8%

CHI -34.7%

HOU +5.8%

HOU +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	HOU	NBA	CHI	HOU	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	15.7	87.0	90.1	100.5
season	15.2	16.5		94.6	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		97.1	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.8	15.9	15.4	13.8	15.2
HOU	17.0	16.9	14.0	17.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Fizer	30	30	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.22	12	-14	26	13.2	16.2	-2.98	17.1	15.9	1.28
Eddie Robinson	49	51	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-6	10	13.8	16.8	-2.93	17.3	15.0	2.23
Ronald Dupree	8	9	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	15.6	15.2	0.46	19.2	16.0	3.27
Tyson Chandler	36	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-3	4	13.3	16.4	-3.08	18.7	14.8	3.88
Rick Brunson	10	9	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	10	-22	14.8	15.3	-0.46	18.9	16.0	2.90
Corie Blount	27	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	9	-20	14.3	15.6	-1.24	16.1	16.3	-0.27
Antonio Davis	64	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.41	5	-7	12	16.1	13.1	2.97	15.6	17.8	-2.20
Eddy Curry	57	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-3	4	15.8	14.3	1.53	15.6	17.4	-1.76
Jamal Crawford	67	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	1	-4	16.0	13.0	3.08	15.7	17.6	-1.82
Kirk Hinrich	69	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-1	0	15.3	15.0	0.28	15.6	18.3	-2.64
Jerome Williams	43	41	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	6	-14	16.8	13.8	2.93	15.1	17.2	-2.10

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	82	84	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-6	14	15.6	22.0	-6.35	15.3	14.2	1.05
Cuttino Mobley	78	80	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	-2	6	15.9	18.8	-2.91	15.0	16.2	-1.20
Kelvin Cato	48	48	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	-2	6	14.9	17.8	-2.87	16.0	14.4	1.62
Steve Francis	77	78	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.52	-6	8	-14	16.2	16.9	-0.69	15.2	15.5	-0.35
Yao Ming	57	58	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.40	-3	5	-8	15.3	18.0	-2.71	15.6	14.5	1.12
Clar. Weatherspoon	27	26	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	-5	12	18.3	15.4	2.87	15.5	15.1	0.41
Mark Jackson	19	19	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	-6	14	18.9	15.6	3.31	15.1	15.2	-0.13
Maurice Taylor	50	52	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	6	-10	17.6	14.6	3.03	13.9	16.9	-3.04
Adrian Griffin	17	15	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	10	-18	18.8	15.7	3.06	15.9	15.1	0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.76,0.61,0.47,0.55,0.71,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.48,0.55,0.8,0.91,1	92.5%
WAS 92, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.99,1	92.5%
UTA 84, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.84,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.65,0.54,0.31,0.55,0.78,0.98,1	91.3%