NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	84		Excitement	6.9 [425]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +5.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	91		Comeback	2.3 [674]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -29.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	17	59%	0.14	3	-0.08	10	60%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Raul Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jarron Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	4	64%	-0.00	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.30	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.24,-0.29,-0.3	-0.14	-0.18	-0.02	10	32%	-0.18	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	13	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.08
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.03	-0.04	10	59%	0.08	4	-0.08	12	75%	0.02
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	23	51%	0.01	1	-0.04	21	81%	0.05
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.14	-0.13	0.02	11	34%	-0.26	1	-0.03	10	30%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.5	29.8	15.6	29.2	2.4	37.1	144.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -5.1%

LAL +24.4%

LAL +13.5%

LAL +20.7%

UTA -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	17.7	15.5	15.7	96.6	105.8	100.5
season	17.2	15.4		99.4	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.2		99.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.1	18.1	17.7	16.4	17.7
LAL	17.9	17.0	13.6	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	21	18	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.25	11	-18	29	18.8	17.4	1.35	17.3	15.1	2.26
Mo Williams	3	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-5	3	14.7	17.8	-3.18	9.7	15.8	-6.09
Sasha Pavlovic	36	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-7	7	19.4	16.5	2.92	17.4	14.3	3.13
Mikki Moore	43	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.34	7	-14	21	17.6	17.8	-0.21	15.7	15.4	0.22
Raja Bell	54	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.34	7	-14	21	18.6	16.4	2.16	17.1	13.1	4.02
Raul Lopez	45	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-11	15	17.2	18.3	-1.16	15.5	15.6	-0.07
Greg Ostertag	33	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-4	1	18.7	17.2	1.50	17.1	14.6	2.50
Tom Gugliotta	26	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	4	-15	17.9	17.7	0.21	14.8	15.9	-1.13
Gordan Giricek	30	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	5	-17	16.6	18.4	-1.78	13.5	16.7	-3.28
Carlos Arroyo	42	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	4	-15	18.3	17.2	1.16	15.6	15.5	0.07
Jarron Collins	33	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	8	-23	16.2	18.7	-2.55	13.1	17.2	-4.07
Andrei Kirilenko	69	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	3	-13	16.9	21.1	-4.26	14.9	18.6	-3.71

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	64	66	1.00	-0.50	1.51	0.27	25	-18	43	14.2	19.5	-5.25	17.3	19.0	-1.67
Rick Fox	53	54	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.24	19	-12	31	13.9	18.2	-4.37	17.1	18.8	-1.79
Shaquille O'Neal	74	76	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.21	17	-10	27	15.1	18.6	-3.53	17.9	16.5	1.36
Kobe Bryant	74	76	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-5	17	14.7	21.0	-6.34	17.8	17.3	0.53
Gary Payton	64	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-7	21	14.2	19.5	-5.31	17.6	18.2	-0.65
Brian Cook	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	6	-5	11.7	15.7	-4.02	12.3	17.9	-5.60
Bryon Russell	5	6	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	8	-9	22.4	15.1	7.28	15.3	17.9	-2.58
Kareem Rush	22	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	13	-19	18.6	14.5	4.15	19.4	17.1	2.31
Devean George	14	12	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	14	-21	19.0	14.9	4.12	17.2	17.8	-0.66
Derek Fisher	26	26	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.01	-10	17	-27	19.0	14.0	5.01	18.7	17.3	1.36
Luke Walton	16	15	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.10	-14	21	-35	18.7	14.8	3.94	17.9	17.7	0.16
Slava Medvedenko	15	14	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	0.01	-15	22	-37	21.1	14.4	6.69	19.7	17.4	2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.84,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.65,0.54,0.31,0.55,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.84,1	92.1%
PHI 98, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.48,0.55,0.8,0.91,1	91.7%
CHI 80, HOU 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.76,0.61,0.47,0.55,0.71,0.92,1	91.3%