NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	112		Excitement	4.1 [1011]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +18.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	1.0 [626]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -6.8%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.02	16	71%	0.22	2	-0.03	13	77%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	12	62%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Gerald Fitch	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	17	52%	0.05	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	55%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	44%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	19	52%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	29	47%	0.02	2	-0.04	16	44%	-0.07
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	53%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	1.8	31.1	17.4	26.5	3.3	43.7	152.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +48.2%

PHI -5.6%

MIA +11.9%

PHI -4.1%

PHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	14.9	15.6	114.3	110.5	104.4
season	15.5	15.2		106.1	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	12.5	15.5	15.8	16.3	15.0
PHI	15.8	15.1	14.9	13.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	66	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.02	20	-13	33	13.9	17.2	-3.25	14.8	15.1	-0.33
James Posey	72	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.18	12	-5	17	14.4	16.5	-2.03	14.2	16.5	-2.29
Gary Payton	73	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-5	17	14.7	15.7	-1.01	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Dwyane Wade	84	82	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	1	5	15.4	12.5	2.88	14.9	15.0	-0.15
Udonis Haslem	48	47	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-4	15	14.1	15.8	-1.74	15.2	14.6	0.59
Antoine Walker	53	51	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.35	-5	12	-17	15.1	14.8	0.35	14.2	15.6	-1.42
Shandon Anderson	10	10	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	3	1	14.2	15.1	-0.86	17.3	14.6	2.71
Gerald Fitch	26	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.23	-7	14	-21	15.3	14.9	0.41	15.4	14.7	0.71
Jason Kapono	29	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	13	-19	15.8	14.6	1.12	16.0	14.4	1.55
Alonzo Mourning	29	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.28	-12	19	-31	18.6	13.5	5.09	15.9	14.5	1.42

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	10	11	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-12	17	16.0	14.7	1.26	15.8	14.9	0.96
Shavlik Randolph	36	39	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.41	15	-22	37	13.5	15.7	-2.26	16.7	13.8	2.82
Lou Williams	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	5.0	15.0	-9.98	4.0	15.1	-11.08
Steven Hunter	5	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-4	1	18.4	14.7	3.72	16.2	14.9	1.34
Kevin Ollie	12	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-2	-3	16.1	14.7	1.38	15.8	14.8	1.01
John Salmons	22	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	0	-7	16.0	14.5	1.52	14.9	15.0	-0.13
Andre Iguodala	68	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-2	-3	14.0	17.0	-2.97	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Allen Iverson	85	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	14.8	15.2	-0.36	15.2	13.0	2.17
Samuel Dalembert	57	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.04	-17	10	-27	15.3	14.3	0.97	13.8	16.7	-2.90
Kyle Korver	87	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	-1	-5	15.1	12.5	2.59	14.8	16.1	-1.26
Chris Webber	92	94	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	2	-11	15.0	11.3	3.66	14.9	15.7	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	96.4%
DET 92, NOH 69	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
NYK 103, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%