NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Excitement	6.1 [591]		MVP	Marko Jaric (MIN): +24.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	74		Comeback	26.2 [26]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (POR): -19.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marko Jaric	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.17	0.02	12	73%	0.29	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	15	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.08	0.03	10	61%	0.08	4	-0.17	11	73%	-0.02
Eddie Griffin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	9	36%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	5	77%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	7	47%	0.03	2	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Sergei Monia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	15	43%	0.01	3	-0.15	5	60%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	10	20%	-0.09	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.8	2.5	31.2	15.5	26.2	2.5	35.1	132.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +39.5%

POR -10.4%

MIN +21.0%

MIN +1.8%

POR -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	16.5	17.8	15.6	100.0	88.1	104.4
season	16.1	16.6		101.0	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.9		109.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	19.0	15.6	14.8	16.7	16.5
POR	18.9	18.7	17.9	16.0	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	49	51	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.28	15	-5	20	15.6	17.7	-2.11	16.0	20.6	-4.57
Wally Szczerbiak	65	64	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.24	13	-3	16	16.6	15.8	0.86	19.0	14.0	5.03
Marko Jaric	64	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-2	14	16.7	15.7	0.99	18.0	17.2	0.86
Kevin Garnett	69	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-1	12	16.6	15.6	1.04	18.0	16.9	1.11
Trenton Hassell	53	52	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	9	-8	17.0	15.5	1.43	17.3	18.7	-1.38
Rashad McCants	15	15	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	6	-2	14.4	16.9	-2.50	19.7	17.4	2.31
Michael Olowokandi	41	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.15	5	5	0	16.8	16.1	0.74	20.1	15.7	4.38
Mark Madsen	6	7	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	14	-18	17.7	16.4	1.31	11.6	18.4	-6.83
Eddie Griffin	36	36	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	16	-22	16.3	16.5	-0.21	16.9	18.6	-1.70
Richie Frahm	22	23	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.14	-1	11	-12	15.9	16.7	-0.80	16.7	18.3	-1.63

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	47	48	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.15	6	-16	22	18.6	16.9	1.73	16.9	15.8	1.08
Juan Dixon	37	37	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.09	1	-11	12	15.9	19.4	-3.47	15.8	17.0	-1.24
Martell Webster	50	51	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-14	18	17.2	18.8	-1.56	17.1	15.5	1.59
Viktor Khryapa	26	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-14	18	18.8	17.4	1.47	18.2	15.6	2.55
Sergei Monia	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	-2	-6	17.4	17.9	-0.49	10.3	17.7	-7.40
Ruben Patterson	53	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	2	-14	18.5	16.8	1.68	15.7	17.7	-2.00
Theo Ratliff	32	30	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-6	2	17.5	18.1	-0.59	17.3	16.0	1.32
Sebastian Telfair	45	48	-0.55	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	-2	-6	18.1	17.5	0.65	16.4	16.5	-0.03
Zach Randolph	69	69	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.20	-17	7	-24	18.3	15.5	2.80	16.9	14.6	2.26
Jarrett Jack	47	45	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.30	-16	6	-22	17.4	18.4	-1.07	16.4	16.5	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.61,0.28,0.15,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, SEA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.11,0.16,0	91.9%
OKC 105, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.83,0.62,0.28,0.1,0.09,0	91.2%
HOU 86, ATL 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.73,0.75,0.37,0.15,0.02,0	91.1%