NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	85		Excitement	4.6 [912]		MVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): +10.9%
Sacramento Kings	77		Comeback	1.1 [577]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -14.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.01	12	61%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	12	75%	0.16	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Mark Madsen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Eddie Griffin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.00	-0.02	14	31%	-0.10	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	65%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	30%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	10	41%	-0.02	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	13	36%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	29.3	16.5	28.2	2.6	29.4	132.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +22.9%

MIN +13.7%

MIN +14.1%

SAC -2.2%

MIN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	16.8	14.6	15.6	92.4	84.6	104.4
season	16.1	15.3		101.0	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.2	15.4	16.5	22.2	16.8
SAC	13.5	16.6	14.2	14.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	78	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-5	18	16.2	20.1	-3.84	14.4	15.8	-1.40
Wally Szczerbiak	74	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-5	18	15.5	22.4	-6.93	14.4	15.8	-1.48
Marko Jaric	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	0	8	16.9	16.7	0.18	14.1	16.2	-2.08
Troy Hudson	46	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	6	-4	18.7	15.0	3.67	14.8	14.5	0.30
Trenton Hassell	62	62	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.21	2	6	-4	17.7	15.0	2.69	14.1	15.8	-1.73
Michael Olowokandi	45	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	2	4	14.9	18.6	-3.68	14.2	15.1	-0.92
Mark Madsen	27	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	7	-6	20.3	15.4	4.87	16.3	13.9	2.40
Ronald Dupree	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	5	-2	14.5	17.4	-2.88	16.7	14.1	2.59
Eddie Griffin	26	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	11	-14	17.4	16.6	0.79	15.1	14.5	0.61
Richie Frahm	14	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	13	-18	18.4	16.5	1.90	16.6	14.3	2.29

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	30	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-12	16	14.9	14.5	0.38	20.3	15.1	5.19
Brian Skinner	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.31	8	-16	24	13.7	15.1	-1.46	20.9	14.8	6.11
Corliss Williamson	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.31	8	-16	24	13.7	15.1	-1.46	20.9	14.8	6.11
Jason Hart	32	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-10	12	15.5	14.2	1.31	19.7	15.2	4.45
Kevin Martin	4	5	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-2	-4	15.2	14.6	0.63	7.6	17.3	-9.74
Bonzi Wells	51	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	0	-8	14.5	14.8	-0.27	15.9	17.9	-2.01
Kenny Thomas	37	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-6	4	15.6	14.0	1.55	19.4	15.0	4.48
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	63	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	1	-10	14.7	14.6	0.01	14.9	20.8	-5.96
Mike Bibby	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	2	-12	14.2	15.5	-1.31	15.2	19.7	-4.45
Brad Miller	52	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.02	-13	5	-18	14.6	14.8	-0.21	14.9	19.5	-4.62
Peja Stojakovic	67	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	6	-20	15.0	13.6	1.45	14.7	22.2	-7.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 107, OKC 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%
DET 109, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.2%
SAS 95, VAN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%