NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Excitement	3.4 [1138]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +15.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	1.0 [1251]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): -5.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	16	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	39%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Zendon Hamilton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	25	47%	-0.01	1	-0.01	14	79%	-0.00
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	11	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.01	-0.01	12	75%	0.18	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.01	-0.04	24	55%	0.13	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	8	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	14	39%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	9	45%	0.02	6	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	28.6	16.7	23.0	2.5	33.3	133.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.5%

LAC +3.7%

LAC +6.4%

CLE -7.8%

LAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAC	NBA	CLE	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.6	98.9	112.1	104.4
season	16.2	15.2		105.6	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.6	16.3	16.0	14.4	15.8
LAC	14.0	17.2	16.7	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zendon Hamilton	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-10	8	12.0	15.8	-3.84	18.0	15.8	2.18
Luke Jackson	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-10	8	12.0	15.8	-3.84	18.0	15.8	2.18
Mike Wilks	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-10	8	12.0	15.8	-3.84	18.0	15.8	2.18
Alan Henderson	26	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-11	10	15.4	16.0	-0.58	14.9	16.1	-1.24
Sasha Pavlovic	13	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-11	10	15.5	15.9	-0.40	16.2	15.8	0.36
Damon Jones	50	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.27	5	-17	22	15.3	16.4	-1.16	15.4	16.4	-1.03
Donyell Marshall	50	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-16	20	15.1	16.7	-1.60	15.7	16.0	-0.28
Eric Snow	46	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	2	-16	16.3	15.3	1.06	16.5	15.2	1.23
Drew Gooden	46	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	1	-14	16.0	15.6	0.44	15.7	16.0	-0.21
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	59	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	0	-12	16.5	14.5	1.96	16.3	14.8	1.49
Larry Hughes	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-1	-10	15.9	15.5	0.40	15.8	16.2	-0.36
LeBron James	84	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	-1	-10	15.9	14.4	1.49	15.7	17.1	-1.40

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-2	16	15.1	19.7	-4.57	16.1	14.2	1.92
Cuttino Mobley	67	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	-3	18	15.4	17.2	-1.85	16.4	14.0	2.35
Corey Maggette	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	-1	14	16.3	14.5	1.72	16.1	15.0	1.02
Chris Kaman	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-1	14	16.1	14.8	1.26	15.8	15.9	-0.17
Sam Cassell	65	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-3	18	15.9	15.7	0.22	16.1	15.1	0.93
Quinton Ross	46	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	16	-20	15.9	15.8	0.18	14.5	17.1	-2.55
Howard Eisley	26	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	15	-18	15.7	15.9	-0.22	15.1	16.1	-0.93
Chris Wilcox	25	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	17	-22	16.6	15.6	1.04	15.7	15.8	-0.17
James Singleton	7	7	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	10	-8	18.9	15.6	3.26	13.1	16.0	-2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.93,0.98,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.6%
NOP 80, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
SAC 102, DAL 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%