NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	98		Excitement	7.7 [305]		MVP	David West (NOK): +33.4%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	2.1 [361]		LVP	Bo Outlaw (ORL): -13.9%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.32,0.33	0.21	0.15	0.02	22	69%	0.36	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.27	0.08	0.23	0.04	12	70%	0.35	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Kirk Snyder	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	4	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Jackson Vroman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.01	8	52%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Chris Andersen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	36%	-0.01	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Desmond Mason	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	44%	-0.00	3	-0.09	12	50%	-0.10
Brandon Bass	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.01	11	75%	0.34	3	-0.16	6	50%	-0.05
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.04	0.03	14	76%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	17	59%	0.15	1	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.02	10	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	3	0%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.5	29.5	16.7	33.0	2.6	35.3	147.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +14.4%

NOK +9.9%

NOK +13.2%

NOK +16.9%

ORL -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	ORL	NBA	NOK	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.6	108.9	105.6	104.4
season	16.3	16.4		101.2	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	16.8	13.5	16.0	13.7	15.0
ORL	16.7	17.8	16.0	17.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	66	67	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-7	17	15.1	14.5	0.62	17.8	15.0	2.80
Chris Andersen	60	61	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.28	13	-10	23	15.6	13.6	2.03	17.9	15.3	2.56
Bostjan Nachbar	63	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-2	7	15.1	14.6	0.52	17.0	17.2	-0.25
David West	79	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	3	-3	15.1	14.2	0.88	16.8	18.7	-1.87
Chris Paul	83	83	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	4	-5	14.6	19.0	-4.39	16.6	22.1	-5.53
Desmond Mason	27	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	5	-7	14.6	15.1	-0.52	17.2	17.0	0.25
Rasual Butler	35	33	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	7	-11	14.0	15.6	-1.61	15.7	17.8	-2.08
Brandon Bass	25	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	7	-11	15.4	14.8	0.62	17.9	16.7	1.16
Jackson Vroman	12	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	5	-7	14.2	15.1	-0.81	15.5	17.3	-1.85

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terence Morris	14	13	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.08	7	-10	17	16.7	17.1	-0.39	16.9	14.6	2.30
Bo Outlaw	35	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-4	5	17.5	16.7	0.77	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Pat Garrity	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-3	3	16.7	17.1	-0.41	9.9	15.7	-5.81
Keyon Dooling	50	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-9	15	17.0	17.1	-0.10	14.1	16.0	-1.88
Jameer Nelson	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-4	5	17.6	16.8	0.85	14.1	15.4	-1.31
DeShawn Stevenson	48	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	9	-21	18.1	15.8	2.36	15.7	14.1	1.53
Tony Battie	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	5	-13	17.0	17.1	-0.06	16.0	13.5	2.49
Hedo Turkoglu	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	0	-3	16.3	18.7	-2.37	15.0	14.7	0.31
Dwight Howard	78	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.53	1	-4	5	16.9	17.9	-1.01	15.1	13.7	1.39
Steve Francis	66	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	5	-13	16.8	17.8	-1.02	15.0	14.9	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.47,0.4,0.26,0.16,0.23,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 101, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.41,0	92.4%
SEA 104, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.07,0.07,0	91.8%
CLE 106, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.38,0.21,0.06,0.05,0	91.7%