NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	5.2 [783]		MVP	Marcus Camby (DEN): +9.5%
Denver Nuggets	95		Comeback	1.8 [868]		LVP	David Lee (NYK): -11.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	11	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	9	32%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Antonio Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	18	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Jackie Butler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	36%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	11	47%	-0.04	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	17	54%	0.03	5	-0.12	7	86%	0.01
David Lee	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	13	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	15	60%	0.14	3	-0.08	12	75%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	43%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	36%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	14	37%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	11	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	26.2	15.4	29.3	1.7	33.0	132.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +28.9%

DEN +20.2%

NYK -13.0%

DEN +13.2%

DEN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DEN	NBA	NYK	DEN	NBA
this game	16.6	13.2	15.6	89.6	96.9	104.4
season	15.7	14.4		102.1	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.4		103.5	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.2	18.4	16.6	16.3	16.6
DEN	13.1	14.4	11.1	14.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	13	13	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-14	19	17.8	16.4	1.47	14.2	13.0	1.24
Trevor Ariza	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.14	5	-14	19	15.1	16.8	-1.73	14.4	13.0	1.40
Maurice Taylor	42	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-10	11	16.8	16.4	0.42	13.9	12.6	1.25
Eddy Curry	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-5	1	16.0	16.7	-0.65	13.9	13.0	0.87
Nate Robinson	46	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-15	21	16.6	16.5	0.11	14.2	12.2	2.03
Jackie Butler	21	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-6	3	16.3	16.6	-0.31	12.6	13.3	-0.69
Channing Frye	57	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-14	19	16.9	16.0	0.92	13.4	12.7	0.68
David Lee	35	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-6	3	16.5	16.6	-0.18	14.3	12.5	1.79
Antonio Davis	33	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	3	-15	16.1	16.8	-0.78	12.8	13.3	-0.50
Malik Rose	57	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	4	-17	16.5	16.7	-0.20	11.8	15.0	-3.13
Jamal Crawford	87	90	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	1	-11	16.7	15.8	0.88	13.3	12.0	1.26
Stephon Marbury	64	64	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.03	-22	13	-35	16.6	16.6	-0.03	11.8	15.8	-4.00

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	78	75	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-4	17	13.0	13.9	-0.94	16.1	18.3	-2.25
Carmelo Anthony	73	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-1	11	12.9	13.9	-0.98	16.4	17.0	-0.56
Marcus Camby	70	69	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	1	7	12.6	14.5	-1.84	16.1	17.9	-1.83
Earl Watson	37	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	4	1	12.2	13.8	-1.59	17.5	16.0	1.49
Eduardo Najera	49	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	4	1	12.9	13.4	-0.55	17.7	15.5	2.20
DerMarr Johnson	41	39	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	4	1	13.8	12.7	1.12	15.7	17.2	-1.53
Earl Boykins	49	48	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	10	-11	14.2	12.1	2.18	16.9	16.2	0.73
Francisco Elson	53	54	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	5	-1	13.6	12.7	0.90	16.4	16.9	-0.51
Greg Buckner	40	39	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	13	-17	13.6	12.8	0.76	17.2	16.1	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.42,0.6,0.51,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 107, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,1,1	94.7%
UTA 90, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%
NYK 101, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.97,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%