NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	5.0 [850]		MVP	Jake Layman (POR): +9.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	111		Comeback	1.8 [1080]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): -12.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	62%	0.10	3	-0.04	5	40%	-0.02
Mario Hezonja	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	17	46%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Trey Burke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	48%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Allonzo Trier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Damyean Dotson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.02	0.07	13	53%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Knox	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	6	44%	-0.07	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	12	21%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	71%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	9	72%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.03	-0.05	8	56%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	17	49%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	4	77%	0.07	3	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.06	9	74%	0.08	3	-0.08	9	67%	-0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	14	52%	0.08	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	12	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.8	30.2	14.7	23.8	1.7	26.2	125.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +48.6%

NYK -6.9%

POR +6.0%

POR +1.2%

POR +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	POR	NBA	NYK	POR	NBA
this game	13.9	15.0	14.3	101.0	112.1	109.3
season	14.5	14.9		103.8	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.1		109.4	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.7	13.9	15.7	12.5	13.9
POR	14.0	14.4	14.3	17.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allonzo Trier	29	29	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-13	16	12.7	14.5	-1.76	15.2	14.9	0.28
Mario Hezonja	66	64	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.24	7	-17	24	13.1	15.6	-2.50	15.6	13.9	1.78
Enes Kanter	60	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.25	7	-17	24	13.1	15.2	-2.10	15.7	14.0	1.67
Trey Burke	31	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-8	6	13.0	14.3	-1.32	14.5	15.2	-0.71
Damyean Dotson	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-2	-6	13.8	14.1	-0.25	15.4	14.7	0.71
Kevin Knox	44	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-2	-6	14.5	13.5	1.08	14.5	15.4	-0.92
Tim Hardaway Jr.	56	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	4	-18	14.9	12.7	2.29	14.2	16.0	-1.78
Emmanuel Mudiay	70	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	14.3	13.1	1.20	15.2	14.7	0.49
Luke Kornet	40	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	7	-24	15.2	13.1	2.10	14.0	15.7	-1.67
Noah Vonleh	59	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	1	-12	14.3	13.5	0.77	15.1	14.8	0.31

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-2	14	15.1	14.8	0.23	14.4	12.5	1.84
Damian Lillard	66	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	0	10	14.9	15.2	-0.35	14.2	13.5	0.71
Al-Farouq Aminu	68	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	1	8	14.8	15.5	-0.78	13.9	14.1	-0.18
Jake Layman	43	46	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	8	-6	14.7	15.2	-0.47	14.7	13.3	1.40
Jusuf Nurkic	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	11	-12	14.4	15.4	-1.07	14.0	13.9	0.14
Meyers Leonard	44	45	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	6	-2	15.4	14.7	0.64	13.9	14.0	-0.05
Zach Collins	46	46	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	2	6	15.6	14.5	1.08	13.9	14.0	-0.05
Maurice Harkless	19	18	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	4	2	13.8	15.3	-1.45	14.1	13.9	0.21
Seth Curry	48	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	8	-6	15.0	15.1	-0.10	13.4	14.5	-1.09
Evan Turner	46	47	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	12	-14	15.9	14.3	1.61	12.7	15.0	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.97,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
UTA 90, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.1%
TOR 84, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%