NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	5.6 [711]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +24.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Comeback	1.5 [988]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -8.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	20	69%	0.26	6	-0.15	8	87%	0.03
Brendan Haywood	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	10	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	13	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Etan Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	16	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.09	-0.03	19	62%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.04	0.05	7	114%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.01	0.12	-0.01	14	53%	0.15	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	16	50%	0.04	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	29.1	19.8	25.1	3.4	32.6	138.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +50.6%

WAS -9.6%

MIN +12.8%

WAS -5.6%

MIN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIN	NBA	WAS	MIN	NBA
this game	13.9	17.4	15.6	106.5	118.5	104.4
season	15.1	16.1		107.4	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.6		103.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.0	13.9	13.8	13.7	13.9
MIN	17.3	18.2	17.5	16.8	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-12	13	14.7	13.6	1.12	17.5	17.4	0.08
Chucky Atkins	15	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-5	-1	15.3	13.6	1.74	17.2	17.5	-0.25
Brendan Haywood	55	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-10	9	13.6	14.3	-0.70	17.8	16.8	1.03
Antonio Daniels	65	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-10	9	13.4	15.0	-1.58	17.9	16.4	1.48
Michael Ruffin	10	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-5	-1	11.3	14.2	-2.90	19.0	17.3	1.75
Caron Butler	58	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-5	-1	14.0	13.7	0.28	17.2	17.9	-0.73
Antawn Jamison	69	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-7	3	14.0	13.7	0.30	17.5	17.0	0.55
Etan Thomas	37	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	14.3	13.6	0.70	16.8	17.8	-1.03
Jarvis Hayes	37	37	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	2	-15	13.8	13.9	-0.07	16.7	17.9	-1.16
Gilbert Arenas	90	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	-2	-7	13.9	11.5	2.43	17.3	22.0	-4.68

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	85	85	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.16	14	-3	17	17.4	18.1	-0.78	14.0	13.0	0.95
Troy Hudson	51	50	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-4	19	17.5	17.3	0.24	13.4	14.4	-1.01
Wally Szczerbiak	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	3	5	17.4	17.6	-0.27	13.7	14.3	-0.56
Richie Frahm	43	43	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	-2	15	17.4	17.5	-0.10	13.5	14.2	-0.78
Eddie Griffin	37	35	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	6	-1	17.4	17.4	-0.03	13.7	14.0	-0.31
Rashad McCants	20	20	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	3	5	17.6	17.4	0.29	15.5	13.4	2.07
Marko Jaric	50	52	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	9	-7	17.6	17.2	0.39	13.8	13.9	-0.12
Michael Olowokandi	53	54	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	9	-7	17.3	17.6	-0.38	14.4	13.2	1.14
Mark Madsen	9	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	12	-13	19.0	17.3	1.75	12.7	14.0	-1.35
Trenton Hassell	44	44	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.05	-11	22	-33	17.2	17.7	-0.51	14.0	13.7	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.65,0.79,0.75,0.63,0.74,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%
LAC 100, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1	92.8%
NJN 77, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.9,0.93,1,1,1	92.8%