NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	121		Excitement	6.9 [457]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +40.2%
Toronto Raptors	115		Comeback	1.1 [565]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -9.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.40	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.4	0.23	0.18	0.01	11	100%	0.47	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Allen Iverson	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.16	0.18	0.03	0.04	26	67%	0.28	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.07	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Lee Nailon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.00	22	43%	0.00	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33	0.33	0.23	0.13	0.03	22	73%	0.41	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	3	108%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rafael Araujo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.08	0.00	20	55%	0.04	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	13	48%	0.05	4	-0.14	1	0%	-0.04
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	3.4	29.4	16.4	25.5	3.4	39.5	146.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +25.1%

PHI +0.8%

PHI +11.7%

PHI +11.2%

PHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.6	13.8	15.6	124.7	116.2	104.4
season	15.2	15.6		104.1	107.3
opponent	15.4	15.3		110.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	17.8	15.4	14.8	15.6
TOR	14.9	15.6	12.9	12.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	84	86	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-5	16	15.9	13.5	2.42	13.8	13.8	0.00
Allen Iverson	91	93	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-3	12	15.5	17.2	-1.72	13.7	15.7	-1.94
Andre Iguodala	90	91	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-3	12	15.4	17.4	-2.02	13.6	16.1	-2.48
Kyle Korver	64	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-5	16	15.2	16.2	-0.95	14.3	13.0	1.36
John Salmons	45	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.41	-5	11	-16	15.1	16.0	-0.87	13.2	14.5	-1.36
Steven Hunter	52	56	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.10	12	-6	18	15.3	15.8	-0.54	14.3	13.3	0.97
Kevin Ollie	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	11	-16	18.7	14.9	3.82	14.4	13.7	0.65
Lee Nailon	34	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	13	-20	16.6	15.0	1.59	13.8	13.9	-0.09
Michael Bradley	9	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.09	-5	11	-16	11.6	16.0	-4.41	14.1	13.8	0.30

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	12	13	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.13	7	-13	20	13.2	13.9	-0.68	19.2	15.0	4.24
Matt Bonner	44	42	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-8	10	13.3	14.3	-0.91	16.5	14.8	1.66
Jalen Rose	16	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-4	2	13.8	13.9	-0.04	13.9	15.9	-1.96
Rafael Araujo	6	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-4	2	14.3	13.8	0.52	18.0	15.4	2.63
Joey Graham	51	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	2	-10	14.1	13.6	0.43	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Chris Bosh	91	89	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-4	2	13.9	13.7	0.11	15.5	16.2	-0.76
Jose Calderon	53	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-6	6	14.2	13.4	0.77	15.1	16.1	-1.03
Morris Peterson	69	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	2	-10	14.1	13.3	0.79	16.2	14.0	2.21
Mike James	94	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	13.6	17.8	-4.16	15.7	14.0	1.66
Charlie Villanueva	59	58	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.23	-12	6	-18	13.8	13.8	-0.00	14.2	17.6	-3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 78, LAL 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.24,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.22,0.1,0	92.7%
ORL 86, CLE 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.03,0	92.2%
POR 88, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.45,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.1,0	92.1%