inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 99 Excitement5.1 [818] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +31.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers 114 Comeback1.8 [893] LVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): -19.0%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.00-0.031154%0.0700.004100%0.01
Antonio Daniels0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.01475%0.0600.00475%-0.01
Antawn Jamison0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.000.031955%0.081-0.03978%0.01
Etan Thomas0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00175%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Jared Jeffries0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Awvee Storey-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01337%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Calvin Booth-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.040,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.01855%-0.012-0.03633%-0.06
Jarvis Hayes-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.010.06747%-0.0500.003100%0.01
Gilbert Arenas-0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.170.010.031740%-0.066-0.131173%-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.310.230.08-0.012373%0.373-0.065100%0.03
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.04-0.001259%0.121-0.01367%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01462%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Luke Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00050%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.010.02560%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zendon Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.040100%0.0000.004100%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Wilks00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.01-0.031536%0.011-0.02367%-0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.010.03671%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Larry Hughes0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.020.061950%-0.025-0.106100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.538.315.827.42.031.0139.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +39.8%
CLE +8.7%
CLE +7.5%
WAS -7.5%
CLE +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCLENBAWASCLENBA
this game14.015.815.6103.1117.5104.4
season15.116.2107.4105.6
opponent15.515.6103.9105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.913.814.213.214.0
CLE17.813.416.416.115.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Jeffries46470.03-0.530.57-0.084-192313.514.5-1.0216.914.82.03
Awvee Storey1415-0.00-0.500.49-0.093-182113.414.1-0.7917.115.61.57
Calvin Booth88-0.04-0.460.41-0.071-161713.714.1-0.3117.215.71.58
Brendan Haywood5458-0.08-0.420.34-0.111-161714.014.0-0.0315.915.60.27
Michael Ruffin88-0.11-0.390.29-0.08-1-141313.014.1-1.1315.015.9-0.88
Antonio Daniels6264-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-5-10513.914.3-0.4516.015.50.48
Antawn Jamison7374-0.24-0.260.02-0.04-7-8114.014.3-0.3016.114.71.40
Etan Thomas1816-0.26-0.24-0.030.12-13-2-1115.613.71.8813.916.2-2.31
Chucky Atkins2727-0.30-0.20-0.090.06-12-3-914.613.80.7315.116.1-0.96
Gilbert Arenas8181-0.36-0.14-0.230.02-13-2-1113.914.7-0.7515.815.70.14
Jarvis Hayes3130-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.07-11-4-714.713.70.9514.516.4-1.84
Caron Butler5857-0.540.04-0.580.10-227-2914.213.80.3615.316.5-1.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donyell Marshall68680.54-0.040.590.0218-32115.117.4-2.2514.014.2-0.26
LeBron James85860.450.050.40-0.0517-21915.617.3-1.7514.212.41.82
Damon Jones56580.420.080.350.041321115.416.3-0.8913.814.3-0.51
Alan Henderson24230.340.160.18-0.071411313.616.5-2.9014.813.80.99
Larry Hughes83820.300.200.100.1078-116.114.31.7713.914.9-1.05
Luke Jackson20200.280.220.060.0778-114.316.2-1.8914.014.0-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas50500.160.34-0.180.04411-716.615.01.5614.413.60.81
Eric Snow41380.040.46-0.410.07-116-1716.915.01.8214.014.1-0.05
Zendon Hamilton320.000.50-0.50-0.03114-1316.715.80.8916.514.02.52
Sasha Pavlovic320.000.50-0.50-0.03114-1316.715.80.8916.514.02.52
Mike Wilks320.000.50-0.50-0.03114-1316.715.80.8916.514.02.52
Drew Gooden4949-0.040.54-0.580.16-722-2917.014.62.3813.314.8-1.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 85, DET 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,194.7%
MIL 96, ATL 1150.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
LAC 81, SEA 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%