NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	85		Excitement	4.6 [902]		MVP	Brandon Knight (DET): +12.2%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	2.3 [231]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -14.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	70%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Joakim Noah	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	4	81%	0.06	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	18	57%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Marquis Teague	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	19	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Daequan Cook	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	8	35%	-0.05	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	12	65%	0.20	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.03	8	94%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	52%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kim English	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.05	6	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	31.5	16.0	25.3	2.0	30.3	131.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +45.5%

CHI -0.1%

DET +4.8%

CHI -1.2%

DET +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	17.0	15.8	15.4	96.6	112.5	104.1
season	16.6	15.7		101.7	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		106.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.6	17.0	17.7	16.6	17.0
DET	15.4	15.6	16.6	15.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	40	40	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.18	7	-21	28	15.3	18.3	-2.98	16.7	15.0	1.74
Marquis Teague	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	21.0	16.9	4.12	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Malcolm Thomas	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	21.0	16.9	4.12	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Daequan Cook	12	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-12	10	15.2	17.3	-2.10	15.1	15.8	-0.73
Nate Robinson	64	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	16.1	19.4	-3.30	16.0	15.2	0.74
Kirk Hinrich	67	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-9	4	16.8	17.5	-0.72	16.5	12.9	3.57
Carlos Boozer	74	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	16.9	17.6	-0.79	16.0	14.0	2.03
Nazr Mohammed	30	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	1	-16	19.0	15.9	3.12	14.7	16.3	-1.56
Vladimir Radmanovic	30	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-2	-10	17.1	16.9	0.14	14.4	16.4	-2.04
Marco Belinelli	37	35	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	1	-16	18.9	15.5	3.40	14.7	16.5	-1.81
Jimmy Butler	82	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	0	-14	17.1	15.0	2.12	15.7	16.8	-1.11

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	60	60	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-5	24	15.0	17.2	-2.20	17.3	16.2	1.07
Jonas Jerebko	50	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-2	18	14.9	16.8	-1.92	17.4	16.4	1.03
Brandon Knight	66	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	4	6	15.9	15.4	0.52	17.9	14.1	3.79
Will Bynum	32	31	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	6	2	15.2	16.1	-0.93	16.8	17.1	-0.31
Charlie Villanueva	26	29	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	3	8	15.5	15.9	-0.41	16.4	17.2	-0.79
Rodney Stuckey	66	66	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	7	0	16.1	14.7	1.36	16.5	18.4	-1.85
Greg Monroe	60	58	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	12	-10	15.9	15.4	0.52	17.1	16.7	0.47
Andre Drummond	36	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	17	-20	17.0	14.9	2.07	16.2	17.5	-1.32
Kyle Singler	40	40	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	16	-18	16.5	15.1	1.37	15.9	17.9	-2.02
Viacheslav Kravtsov	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	14.5	15.8	-1.28	23.0	16.9	6.09
Kim English	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	14.5	15.8	-1.28	23.0	16.9	6.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 79, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
PHX 97, NOH 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
WAS 99, CLE 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%