inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 82 Excitement3.8 [1072] MVPJason Richardson (GSW): +10.7%
Golden State Warriors 100 Comeback1.3 [1043] LVPChris Duhon (CHI): -15.5%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andres Nocioni0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.001161%0.093-0.06667%0.00
Tim Thomas0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Sweetney0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03644%0.001-0.00425%-0.03
Jannero Pargo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.010.041155%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Othella Harrington-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.01-0.02433%0.012-0.031100%0.00
Malik Allen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.000.04650%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Darius Songaila-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03333%0.003-0.0400%0.00
Ben Gordon-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.11-0.01-0.081222%-0.0500.00367%0.00
Luol Deng-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.011337%-0.0500.00425%-0.03
Tyson Chandler-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.02367%0.003-0.0700%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.120,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.020.001029%-0.072-0.051100%0.01
Chris Duhon-0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.180.00-0.021114%-0.093-0.0700%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Richardson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.130.020.052165%0.163-0.05786%0.00
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.01-0.05948%0.081-0.00771%-0.02
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.011068%0.072-0.022100%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.00-0.04940%0.0210.002100%0.01
Chris Taft0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.02367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Aaron Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.010.04965%0.053-0.06560%-0.01
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03250%-0.013-0.0300%0.00
Baron Davis0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.010.011142%-0.015-0.122100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.829.216.726.22.528.3129.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +39.4%
GSW +14.7%
CHI -8.4%
GSW +3.5%
GSW +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIGSWNBACHIGSWNBA
this game16.114.215.686.3105.3104.4
season14.414.8102.6102.9
opponent15.516.1104.0102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI17.015.517.514.416.1
GSW12.313.315.216.214.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Othella Harrington3029-0.03-0.470.45-0.061-192016.715.80.9215.113.81.33
Tim Thomas1514-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-161415.116.3-1.2314.614.10.42
Michael Sweetney3433-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-171616.515.90.6113.514.6-1.16
Andres Nocioni6263-0.12-0.380.250.02-5-13816.116.1-0.0214.314.00.32
Darius Songaila2225-0.16-0.340.190.02-6-12615.116.4-1.3215.113.91.18
Tyson Chandler3940-0.18-0.320.140.14-11-7-417.615.12.5214.114.3-0.23
Ben Gordon5958-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.09-6-12616.116.2-0.1414.613.61.05
Malik Allen2526-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.02-9-9015.716.2-0.5214.114.3-0.18
Kirk Hinrich4645-0.30-0.20-0.110.22-180-1816.815.51.3112.415.8-3.36
Jannero Pargo4748-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.04-10-8-215.117.0-1.8915.712.73.03
Chris Duhon4545-0.35-0.15-0.200.00-12-6-616.116.1-0.0313.514.9-1.37
Luol Deng5149-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.04-11-7-415.616.7-1.0314.014.4-0.43

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Dunleavy68670.490.010.47-0.041801813.216.6-3.3816.116.2-0.10
Jason Richardson80810.460.040.43-0.0919-12014.512.71.8316.215.40.88
Adonal Foyle63630.440.060.39-0.051711613.914.8-0.8616.814.81.95
Baron Davis68670.330.170.170.01117414.114.6-0.5317.113.73.44
Derek Fisher53550.270.230.030.0099015.113.12.0415.516.9-1.42
Troy Murphy61620.230.27-0.04-0.0499014.912.91.9817.413.73.69
Mickael Pietrus38390.220.28-0.060.05612-614.214.2-0.0014.517.2-2.70
Chris Taft16160.060.44-0.39-0.00216-1416.113.82.3014.816.4-1.55
Zarko Cabarkapa430.000.50-0.500.00018-1811.014.4-3.359.316.3-6.99
Aaron Miles430.000.50-0.500.00018-1811.014.4-3.359.316.3-6.99
Andris Biedrins2019-0.000.50-0.500.03-119-2012.914.5-1.6013.916.6-2.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 88, DET 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,196.9%
MIN 95, HOU 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
TOR 91, WAS 1180.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%