NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	88		Excitement	3.1 [1195]		MVP	Ronald Dupree (DET): +9.9%
Detroit Pistons	100		Comeback	1.3 [1069]		LVP	Gary Payton (BOS): -10.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	69%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Jiri Welsch	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	7	78%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.12	0.00	0.11	11	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	10	41%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	37%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	10	40%	0.03	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	-0.05	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	10	30%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.03	-0.03	8	61%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	17	55%	0.07	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.06	1	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	11	57%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.06	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	0.00	0.07	9	59%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.6	30.7	18.6	26.3	2.6	27.6	131.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +28.8%

BOS -1.2%

DET +7.9%

DET +11.6%

DET +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	13.8	17.7	15.5	95.7	109.9	104.0
season	14.4	16.7		104.7	103.5
opponent	15.9	16.0		98.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	15.3	14.7	11.5	13.8
DET	16.4	18.3	16.6	19.8	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	41	40	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.41	19	-31	50	13.0	14.4	-1.33	18.6	17.1	1.50
Al Jefferson	26	26	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-16	20	13.8	13.7	0.12	19.5	17.0	2.42
Walter McCarty	31	31	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.38	15	-27	42	12.9	14.2	-1.29	20.5	16.3	4.22
Marcus Banks	33	32	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.12	-4	-8	4	13.8	13.7	0.14	17.4	17.9	-0.56
Kendrick Perkins	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	5.0	14.1	-9.06	20.5	17.7	2.83
Tom Gugliotta	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-22	32	11.0	14.1	-3.10	22.6	17.1	5.57
Ricky Davis	61	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-15	18	13.5	14.2	-0.65	18.4	16.4	2.10
Jiri Welsch	57	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-6	0	13.2	14.7	-1.49	18.1	17.0	1.11
Gary Payton	41	40	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.11	-21	9	-30	14.3	13.3	1.00	15.9	19.2	-3.32
Mark Blount	42	41	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.23	-26	14	-40	15.2	12.5	2.72	15.3	19.7	-4.40
Raef LaFrentz	53	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.13	-23	11	-34	14.2	13.2	0.92	16.4	19.6	-3.16
Paul Pierce	62	61	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	0.25	-31	19	-50	14.5	12.2	2.27	17.2	18.9	-1.74

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	60	61	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.25	30	-18	48	16.1	20.8	-4.66	14.7	11.9	2.80
Rasheed Wallace	68	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-6	24	17.6	18.0	-0.35	14.6	11.6	2.91
Chauncey Billups	75	76	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	-4	20	17.9	17.1	0.74	14.2	11.7	2.51
Richard Hamilton	68	68	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	7	-2	17.7	17.8	-0.06	13.8	13.7	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	63	66	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	8	-4	17.9	17.3	0.65	13.4	14.8	-1.41
Ronald Dupree	24	24	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	3	6	18.0	17.6	0.36	13.9	13.7	0.21
Lindsey Hunter	39	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.10	9	3	6	17.2	18.2	-1.02	13.8	13.7	0.06
Smush Parker	8	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.23	-8	20	-28	18.5	17.7	0.84	9.2	14.3	-5.03
Darko Milicic	8	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.22	-8	20	-28	17.7	17.7	0.02	9.0	14.3	-5.28
Antonio McDyess	42	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.38	-15	27	-42	19.9	15.9	3.98	12.8	14.5	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 82, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
WAS 81, IND 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CLE 63, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%