inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 108 Excitement8.3 [217] MVPDonyell Marshall (CLE): +39.2%
Orlando Magic 100 Comeback9.9 [111] LVPJameer Nelson (ORL): -17.0%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donyell Marshall0.390,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.390.080.28-0.031271%0.442-0.0500%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.230,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.080.160.011367%0.302-0.074100%0.02
Drew Gooden0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.00761%0.061-0.02475%0.00
Damon Jones0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.00662%0.0300.0010%-0.03
Larry Hughes0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.021852%0.133-0.12667%-0.10
Alan Henderson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Jackson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Eric Snow-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.04-0.01540%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
LeBron James-0.140,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.140.05-0.150.042051%-0.112-0.041164%-0.03

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.140.060.001370%0.211-0.02475%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.02-0.031156%0.112-0.045100%0.02
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.030.00667%0.101-0.0400%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.01956%0.0300.0000%0.00
Terence Morris00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.000100%0.022-0.062100%0.01
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.00333%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Steve Francis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.030.000.041655%0.075-0.148100%0.14
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17-0.170.02-0.150.041355%-0.072-0.095100%0.04
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.15-0.06-0.03425%-0.075-0.10475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.22.528.616.726.33.338.51.722.0161.8
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +81.6%
ORL -39.1%
ORL -33.4%
CLE +27.5%
CLE +13.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEORLNBACLEORLNBA
this game16.016.515.6110.2102.0104.4
season16.216.4105.6104.4
opponent15.715.5105.9103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CLE20.713.016.118.110.716.0
ORL19.317.015.914.615.616.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Larry Hughes82830.61-0.110.720.3210-21215.617.7-2.0416.715.51.18
Eric Snow75730.54-0.040.580.2211-31416.016.0-0.0316.815.51.33
LeBron James92910.460.040.420.2571615.917.2-1.2616.220.4-4.26
Donyell Marshall69680.310.190.130.059-11014.619.2-4.5816.316.8-0.48
Zydrunas Ilgauskas61640.170.33-0.170.19-19-1017.313.93.4015.917.6-1.71
Alan Henderson18170.150.35-0.190.0444014.616.3-1.7416.616.40.21
Damon Jones38370.120.38-0.270.23-412-1616.615.60.9414.917.4-2.53
Drew Gooden45460.120.38-0.270.0335-216.915.21.6417.515.61.86
Luke Jackson10110.030.47-0.45-0.0017-617.415.81.5820.615.94.69

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terence Morris88-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-91014.716.6-1.8718.715.73.02
Tony Battie5048-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-7617.215.71.4516.715.31.47
Keyon Dooling1816-0.14-0.360.23-0.05-3-5217.216.30.9214.916.2-1.32
Kelvin Cato89-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-2-419.216.23.0312.416.3-3.89
Hedo Turkoglu7171-0.17-0.330.15-0.263-111417.015.11.8717.013.33.70
Dwight Howard8483-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.24-1-7616.417.0-0.6216.711.94.86
Jameer Nelson3032-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.02-113-1414.617.3-2.6914.016.9-2.89
Pat Garrity5354-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.22-6-2-415.817.3-1.5214.917.3-2.43
Steve Francis8687-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.21-7-1-616.615.80.7216.114.61.51
DeShawn Stevenson8282-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.19-91-1016.516.6-0.1115.518.2-2.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.24,0.35,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.74,0.46,0.31,0.08,0.15,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 104, CHA 940.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.24,0.45,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.17,0.03,0,089.6%
WAS 114, MIL 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.16,0.23,0.73,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.06,0.01,089.2%
MIA 116, NYK 1100.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.24,0.73,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.04,089.1%