inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 116 Excitement8.6 [182] MVPTim Thomas (NYK): +17.4%
New York Knicks 110 Comeback5.2 [190] LVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): -21.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0.140,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.050.001365%0.171-0.0300%0.00
Keyon Dooling0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.03-0.02575%0.1000.002100%0.02
Udonis Haslem0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.050.01575%0.1000.00667%-0.02
Michael Doleac0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.050.001100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.020.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00450%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06-0.070.010.002253%0.044-0.101377%-0.04
Damon Jones-0.070,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.09-0.130.041571%0.013-0.084100%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.210,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.21,-0.21-0.12-0.12-0.021640%-0.162-0.05875%0.02

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.110.140.07781%0.1700.00250%-0.01
Jamison Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Michael Sweetney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00744%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01757%0.043-0.0600%0.00
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.09,0.22,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.02-0.11-0.002752%-0.0800.001560%-0.14
Trevor Ariza0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.09-0.011055%-0.012-0.11967%-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.07-0.011447%-0.004-0.132100%0.02
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14-0.140.02-0.140.011258%-0.052-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.32.423.516.627.02.436.41.520.4153.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +16.6%
MIA +16.1%
NYK -12.1%
MIA +28.9%
MIA +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game15.516.615.5117.2111.1104.0
season15.715.8107.9103.9
opponent15.315.5106.5101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA16.017.118.314.610.415.5
NYK17.518.016.917.511.116.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shandon Anderson30300.430.070.360.227-1812.317.0-4.6616.916.40.42
Udonis Haslem87850.410.090.320.2942215.615.20.4316.417.8-1.41
Dwyane Wade84850.370.130.240.2542215.814.31.4316.516.9-0.41
Eddie Jones83810.360.140.220.2733015.913.62.2916.019.3-3.37
Damon Jones66660.350.150.200.0610-41415.216.2-0.9116.317.1-0.82
Michael Doleac26260.330.170.170.108-21017.215.02.1819.015.73.24
Shaquille O'Neal80810.250.250.010.34-39-1215.416.1-0.6316.019.3-3.37
Rasual Butler11120.100.40-0.30-0.0242212.815.9-3.0719.116.22.85
Keyon Dooling2829-0.110.61-0.720.10-713-2017.714.73.0717.916.01.87

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Williams97-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-4-2-218.816.42.4215.015.6-0.59
Jamison Brewer89-0.17-0.330.16-0.02-5-1-423.216.07.2613.315.8-2.43
Michael Sweetney3433-0.19-0.310.11-0.16-1-5416.016.9-0.8313.916.4-2.50
Tim Thomas7373-0.20-0.300.10-0.231-7816.018.1-2.0416.113.92.25
Anfernee Hardaway7474-0.25-0.250.00-0.364-101416.616.40.2414.718.0-3.23
Kurt Thomas7779-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.24-2-4216.915.51.4416.810.76.07
Stephon Marbury9190-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.30-1-5416.023.2-7.2615.813.32.43
Trevor Ariza6970-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-126-1816.117.6-1.4714.318.5-4.15
Nazr Mohammed6060-0.520.02-0.54-0.22-104-1417.215.61.6716.613.92.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.24,0.73,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 86, VAN 760.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.1,0.01,089.4%
IND 99, PHX 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.2,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.16,0.0289.2%
NYK 88, LAC 810.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.09,089.2%