NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	111		Excitement	7.9 [282]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +29.4%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	7.0 [105]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -42.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.21	0.00	0.22	0.01	12	67%	0.33	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.05
Rasheed Wallace	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	-0.00	10	73%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13	0.14	-0.00	0.01	15	73%	0.21	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	12	60%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.02	0.03	10	60%	0.08	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Maurice Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.15	0.14	-0.00	12	72%	0.29	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	6	77%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.01	10	70%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.26,-0.42	-0.42	-0.11	-0.31	0.01	17	46%	0.04	6	-0.46	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.8	31.2	19.7	28.8	2.8	31.3	141.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +22.3%

PHX -6.9%

DET +9.6%

DET +21.2%

DET +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	18.0	14.3	15.6	124.7	116.9	104.4
season	16.9	13.8		108.3	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.8		105.8	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.9	19.0	18.0	17.2	18.0
PHX	14.8	13.8	12.7	16.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	77	76	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-3	13	17.8	19.3	-1.50	14.3	14.5	-0.25
Rasheed Wallace	61	62	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-1	9	17.6	19.0	-1.41	15.0	12.9	2.12
Chauncey Billups	66	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	1	5	17.2	20.5	-3.30	14.2	14.7	-0.56
Ben Wallace	85	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	1	5	17.7	26.0	-8.34	14.3	15.4	-1.14
Richard Hamilton	64	65	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	5	-3	18.3	17.4	0.94	15.2	12.0	3.18
Maurice Evans	24	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	5	-3	17.9	18.1	-0.16	12.3	15.1	-2.73
Carlos Delfino	14	14	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	7	-7	16.9	18.3	-1.40	13.6	14.5	-0.90
Carlos Arroyo	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	6	-5	20.5	17.2	3.30	14.7	14.2	0.56
Antonio McDyess	31	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	7	-7	20.5	16.7	3.81	13.4	14.8	-1.44

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	49	50	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.05	1	-8	9	13.9	14.8	-0.86	17.8	18.4	-0.58
Leandro Barbosa	38	39	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	-5	3	14.3	14.3	-0.02	18.1	18.0	0.08
Pat Burke	5	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-6	5	15.4	14.3	1.14	26.0	17.7	8.34
James Jones	40	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-2	-3	14.1	14.5	-0.46	18.6	17.6	0.98
Shawn Marion	76	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.30	1	-8	9	14.3	14.5	-0.16	18.1	17.6	0.46
Eddie House	20	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	4	-15	14.3	14.3	-0.03	17.9	18.1	-0.23
Steve Nash	67	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-4	1	14.2	14.8	-0.65	17.2	20.5	-3.30
Raja Bell	55	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	-5	3	14.3	14.4	-0.04	17.9	18.2	-0.28
Kurt Thomas	57	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	14.6	13.9	0.66	17.5	19.0	-1.53
Brian Grant	38	36	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.44	-7	0	-7	15.0	13.8	1.13	19.4	17.1	2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.79,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.79,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.77,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 88, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.28,0	92.7%
SEA 99, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.47,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.77,0.42,0	91.2%
NJN 88, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	90.7%