NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	105		Excitement	5.5 [744]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +20.8%
Chicago Bulls	109		Comeback	399.0 [6]		LVP	Kareem Rush (CHA): -39.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.05	-0.00	16	67%	0.23	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.02
Matt Carroll	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	-0.00	-0.05	13	57%	0.06	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	9	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	9	45%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Sean May	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.13	0.00	-0.09	10	30%	-0.02	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.03	9	52%	-0.05	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Kareem Rush	-0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.33,-0.4	-0.19	-0.26	-0.06	14	26%	-0.25	4	-0.15	3	67%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.16	-0.00	7	65%	0.22	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.07
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.15	0.15	-0.00	0.16	0.02	8	55%	0.27	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.02	9	69%	0.13	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.11	-0.04	0.08	6	92%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	44%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.01	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	18	33%	-0.06	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.4	2.8	28.2	15.5	32.4	2.4	32.2	1.6	20.0	161.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +50.7%

CHA -10.9%

CHI +9.9%

CHA -9.0%

CHI +9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	14.6	15.6	98.1	102.8	104.4
season	14.8	14.4		100.5	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.4		102.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	15.9	13.8	13.5	18.5	15.0	15.2
CHI	16.8	13.9	13.7	14.2	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	62	63	0.50	-1.00	1.50	-0.03	18	-22	40	14.5	16.2	-1.71	14.6	14.6	0.03
Sean May	35	33	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-8	12	13.9	15.9	-2.00	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Matt Carroll	33	32	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.20	-1	-3	2	15.7	15.0	0.67	14.6	14.6	0.00
Jumaine Jones	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-1	-2	14.9	15.3	-0.35	14.8	14.6	0.22
Primoz Brezec	43	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.29	4	-8	12	15.5	15.1	0.39	14.1	15.0	-0.83
Melvin Ely	57	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	4	-12	15.0	15.5	-0.58	14.9	14.3	0.67
Gerald Wallace	87	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.46	-1	-3	2	15.3	14.9	0.35	14.6	14.8	-0.22
Emeka Okafor	79	80	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.42	-8	4	-12	15.9	13.4	2.54	14.8	14.0	0.88
Kareem Rush	74	74	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.58	-3	-1	-2	15.0	15.7	-0.67	14.6	14.6	-0.00
Raymond Felton	45	43	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.36	-22	18	-40	16.2	14.5	1.71	14.6	14.6	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	32	32	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.26	25	-21	46	14.5	14.7	-0.22	17.4	14.3	3.10
Tyson Chandler	66	68	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.36	17	-13	30	14.5	14.7	-0.20	15.9	14.1	1.86
Darius Songaila	44	46	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.68	3	1	2	15.0	14.3	0.72	15.3	15.2	0.12
Ben Gordon	76	76	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.24	16	-12	28	15.4	12.7	2.64	16.1	13.0	3.10
Chris Duhon	79	80	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-4	12	13.8	17.0	-3.24	14.9	16.2	-1.32
Tim Thomas	33	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	2	0	14.9	14.5	0.37	14.1	15.7	-1.59
Malik Allen	7	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	5	-6	12.3	14.8	-2.50	12.3	15.4	-3.07
Othella Harrington	35	35	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	9	-14	15.5	14.2	1.25	13.4	16.1	-2.77
Luol Deng	38	37	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.05	-5	9	-14	14.4	14.8	-0.40	13.9	15.9	-1.97
Michael Sweetney	32	31	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.17	-5	9	-14	15.4	14.3	1.17	18.2	14.0	4.21
Kirk Hinrich	57	58	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.15	-16	20	-36	14.8	14.4	0.32	14.5	16.1	-1.56
Andres Nocioni	31	32	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.18	-19	23	-42	13.1	15.2	-2.11	13.8	15.8	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0,0.01,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 97, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.85,0.92,1	91.2%
LAL 123, CHI 129	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.73,1	89.7%
ORL 110, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.33,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.83,1	89.0%