NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	86		Excitement	6.5 [518]		MVP	Richie Frahm (MIN): +26.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Comeback	2.6 [775]		LVP	Trenton Hassell (MIN): -22.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.2,0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	24	57%	0.24	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.05
Joel Przybilla	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	3	100%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Charles Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Theo Ratliff	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.17,-0.16	-0.04	-0.13	-0.01	14	39%	-0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	21	39%	-0.10	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27	0.27	0.20	0.06	0.00	6	112%	0.27	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.16	0.00	13	69%	0.28	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	15	50%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	56%	0.06	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.03
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	12	24%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.16	-0.08	-0.02	7	14%	-0.09	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	29.6	15.8	26.4	2.4	37.5	136.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +42.4%

POR -2.3%

MIN +7.3%

POR -0.6%

MIN +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.6	94.5	97.8	104.4
season	16.6	16.1		99.4	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.7		103.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	18.0	16.5	13.8	16.0
MIN	16.1	13.3	17.0	15.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	38	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-2	0	16.7	15.5	1.21	16.6	14.7	1.98
Sebastian Telfair	60	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-6	8	16.5	15.0	1.48	16.4	13.6	2.80
Joel Przybilla	54	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-6	8	15.7	16.4	-0.72	15.8	15.1	0.73
Ruben Patterson	26	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	2	-8	15.8	16.0	-0.24	15.0	15.7	-0.63
Theo Ratliff	37	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	2	-8	16.4	15.7	0.72	15.1	15.8	-0.73
Zach Randolph	78	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.32	1	-5	6	15.9	16.4	-0.47	15.7	14.5	1.18
Jarrett Jack	31	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	2	-8	15.0	16.5	-1.48	13.6	16.4	-2.80
Juan Dixon	53	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-2	0	15.5	16.7	-1.21	14.7	16.6	-1.98
Darius Miles	78	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	16.1	15.2	0.87	15.5	15.7	-0.26

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	3	-2	16.1	14.4	1.73	16.3	15.3	1.06
Kevin Garnett	70	70	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.46	-1	5	-6	15.8	14.6	1.14	16.2	15.1	1.15
Wally Szczerbiak	60	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	-1	6	16.6	13.4	3.16	16.7	14.5	2.14
Eddie Griffin	51	49	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	-2	8	14.0	17.4	-3.45	15.3	16.7	-1.37
Richie Frahm	33	32	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	-3	10	13.1	16.8	-3.76	15.1	16.4	-1.32
Rashad McCants	43	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	1	2	14.6	16.3	-1.72	16.2	15.8	0.39
Michael Olowokandi	41	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	2	0	16.9	14.4	2.44	17.0	15.2	1.82
Trenton Hassell	47	46	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.32	-6	10	-16	16.7	14.2	2.54	15.5	16.5	-1.05
Mark Madsen	22	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	3	-2	15.7	15.4	0.24	14.7	16.4	-1.66
Anthony Carter	33	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	2	0	14.2	16.2	-1.96	15.3	16.3	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.95,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.89,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 82, POR 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.91,1	92.5%
DEN 114, GSW 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.51,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.73,1	92.2%
ORL 84, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.84,1	92.2%