NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	3.6 [1107]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): +11.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	1.0 [672]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (POR): -10.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.01	-0.07	15	58%	0.12	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	15	47%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Finley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	17	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	10	90%	0.13	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	12	62%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	13	56%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	54%	0.01	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	8	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	11	42%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	0.03	13	46%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	3.6	33.0	18.8	28.0	3.5	30.5	142.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +15.8%

DAL +5.9%

DAL +3.4%

DAL +22.0%

DAL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.6	16.1	15.5	112.1	98.9	104.0
season	14.9	15.8		108.2	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.4	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.8	16.1	15.5	15.9	15.6
POR	17.3	16.6	15.8	14.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	63	63	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-3	18	16.2	14.2	1.94	16.1	16.0	0.18
Shawn Bradley	26	27	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	0	12	15.1	15.7	-0.62	19.0	14.8	4.19
Jerry Stackhouse	43	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	6	0	16.3	14.9	1.36	17.0	15.2	1.77
Keith Van Horn	61	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	8	-4	15.6	15.4	0.19	15.9	16.4	-0.53
Devin Harris	32	33	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	-1	14	15.4	15.6	-0.24	17.3	15.4	1.91
Jason Terry	63	62	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.22	1	11	-10	15.7	15.3	0.40	15.0	18.3	-3.26
Josh Howard	68	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	9	-6	15.0	17.1	-2.10	15.5	17.6	-2.03
Alan Henderson	24	23	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	4	4	14.6	15.9	-1.33	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Erick Dampier	53	52	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	11	-10	15.6	15.6	0.01	15.8	16.4	-0.61
Marquis Daniels	22	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	15.4	15.6	-0.26	14.9	16.5	-1.65

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ha Seung-Jin	7	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-11	10	13.6	16.3	-2.73	17.0	15.5	1.54
Viktor Khryapa	40	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-12	12	15.3	16.7	-1.32	15.9	15.3	0.59
Richie Frahm	9	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-5	-2	18.4	15.8	2.62	15.0	15.6	-0.62
Darius Miles	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-6	0	18.0	15.3	2.67	16.1	15.3	0.78
Travis Outlaw	51	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-10	8	16.5	15.6	0.83	15.5	15.7	-0.18
Ruben Patterson	46	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-6	0	16.1	16.1	-0.05	15.4	15.7	-0.24
Damon Stoudamire	57	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-10	8	15.8	16.6	-0.89	15.5	15.6	-0.14
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-2	-8	16.6	14.5	2.15	15.6	15.3	0.32
Joel Przybilla	69	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-1	-10	16.0	16.2	-0.18	15.3	16.6	-1.40
Sebastian Telfair	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	3	-18	15.4	21.2	-5.79	15.5	15.8	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
DAL 108, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
BOS 110, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%