NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	110		Excitement	10.2 [60]		MVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): +17.8%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	4.6 [140]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CHA): -29.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Primoz Brezec	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	11	65%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	65%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Melvin Ely	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.05
Jason Hart	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Keith Bogans	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.28	-0.02	-0.25	0.01	19	51%	-0.18	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.43,-0.3,-0.3	-0.13	-0.17	-0.00	19	42%	-0.03	5	-0.27	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Collier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	9	53%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
James Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	15	59%	0.08	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Donta Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.11	0.00	10	74%	0.09	3	-0.16	3	67%	0.03
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	12	52%	-0.03	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	16	37%	-0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.12	-0.01	14	56%	0.05	5	-0.23	4	50%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	0.3	23.5	15.7	29.4	1.7	37.0	1.5	17.2	151.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +13.3%

ATL -0.3%

CHA +3.3%

CHA +34.4%

ATL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	15.5	103.8	100.0	104.0
season	15.5	15.6		99.0	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.1		108.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	14.5	16.0	16.0	15.8	16.0	15.6
ATL	14.3	15.3	14.6	13.6	15.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Hart	37	34	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.41	17	-12	29	14.3	16.3	-2.05	15.2	14.2	0.99
Keith Bogans	85	85	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-6	17	15.8	14.6	1.23	14.4	15.0	-0.64
Emeka Okafor	90	91	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-3	11	15.6	15.7	-0.17	14.4	15.6	-1.20
Gerald Wallace	75	76	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	5	-5	16.9	12.5	4.41	14.1	15.6	-1.41
Melvin Ely	45	43	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	1	3	15.6	15.6	-0.05	15.1	14.1	1.03
Brevin Knight	78	78	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.39	-5	10	-15	16.7	12.7	3.98	14.1	15.7	-1.53
Jason Kapono	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	5	-5	10.0	16.2	-6.19	16.9	14.3	2.62
Primoz Brezec	69	69	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	9	-13	15.8	15.3	0.43	14.6	14.4	0.22
Matt Carroll	41	39	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.16	-6	11	-17	13.1	17.2	-4.01	14.7	14.4	0.29

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collier	39	38	0.37	-0.87	1.24	-0.04	14	-19	33	14.7	14.4	0.29	17.0	14.8	2.18
Boris Diaw	5	3	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.14	-2	-3	1	10.8	14.7	-3.92	19.0	15.5	3.50
Josh Childress	82	83	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.27	7	-12	19	14.5	14.6	-0.04	16.3	13.2	3.05
Michael Stewart	20	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	0	-5	16.0	14.2	1.87	12.5	16.4	-3.97
Josh Smith	80	81	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-9	13	14.5	14.5	0.07	15.5	15.8	-0.31
James Thomas	6	5	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	12.8	14.6	-1.80	15.6	15.6	-0.00
Tyronn Lue	80	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-10	15	14.3	15.1	-0.77	16.5	13.0	3.54
Tom Gugliotta	78	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-8	11	14.2	15.4	-1.13	16.6	12.9	3.73
Royal Ivey	25	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	5	-15	15.1	14.3	0.77	13.0	16.5	-3.54
Donta Smith	15	17	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	4	-13	13.9	14.6	-0.78	12.6	16.2	-3.59
Tony Delk	31	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	3	-11	15.1	14.3	0.85	14.5	16.1	-1.54
Predrag Drobnjak	64	66	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.41	-20	15	-35	14.6	14.4	0.19	15.1	16.5	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.39,0.32,0.46,0.24,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.44,0.53,0.39,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.33,0.25,0.46,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.27,0	92.2%
DEN 114, MIA 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.67,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.27,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.57,0.16,0	88.2%
NYK 118, MIL 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.24,0,0	87.1%