inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 102 Excitement13.0 [11] MVPEric Piatkowski (CHI): +16.1%
Orlando Magic 101 Comeback3.7 [137] LVPJameer Nelson (ORL): -70.9%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.070.08-0.00771%0.1600.0000%0.00
Jared Reiner-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Adrian Griffin-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00633%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.090,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,0.12,0.02,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,0.05,-0.09-0.02-0.050.022352%0.114-0.202100%0.04
Chris Duhon-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11-0.02-0.080.00550%0.001-0.114100%0.07
Tyson Chandler-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.00-0.100.011152%-0.1100.00771%-0.03
Antonio Davis-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.011631%-0.1200.00333%-0.04
Jannero Pargo-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.01-0.180.011158%0.063-0.262100%0.01
Andres Nocioni-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.11-0.11-0.02927%-0.111-0.084100%0.03
Ben Gordon-0.510,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.51-0.16-0.36-0.011331%-0.343-0.17683%0.03

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.110.110.010.10-0.00650%0.1100.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00571%0.0600.004100%0.03
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.06-0.011154%0.073-0.05450%-0.01
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brandon Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.06-0.01757%0.041-0.0700%0.00
Andre Barrett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.040.00430%-0.052-0.07250%-0.02
Steve Francis0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.14-0.140.00-0.15-0.012153%-0.061-0.081191%0.07
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.18-0.15-0.041441%-0.136-0.1760%-0.15
Jameer Nelson0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.4,-0.48,-0.56,-0.56,-0.71-0.71-0.12-0.590.011947%-0.287-0.4300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.02.427.817.028.12.437.31.615.0155.7
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL -32.4%
CHI +47.9%
CHI +20.2%
ORL -1.1%
CHI +15.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIORLNBACHIORLNBA
this game15.014.215.594.491.8104.0
season15.114.3100.1102.9
opponent15.515.4105.198.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI19.213.313.614.713.915.0
ORL12.114.914.614.116.114.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Duhon66680.59-0.090.670.474-3714.615.6-0.9814.513.70.77
Eric Piatkowski33310.57-0.070.630.0418-173513.415.7-2.3015.313.71.52
Ben Gordon60620.53-0.030.570.5010115.214.80.4113.614.9-1.23
Jannero Pargo49490.350.150.19-0.0614-132713.616.2-2.5414.414.00.37
Antonio Davis77790.320.180.150.214-3715.015.2-0.2014.014.5-0.54
Andres Nocioni71690.260.240.020.35-34-714.615.8-1.2114.413.70.69
Tyson Chandler82860.070.43-0.350.43-1213-2515.413.81.5414.512.81.75
Jared Reiner760.020.48-0.45-0.0110119.714.75.0210.214.4-4.23
Kirk Hinrich8286-0.040.54-0.570.37-1415-2915.613.22.4613.915.2-1.28
Adrian Griffin1314-0.180.68-0.850.06-89-1719.414.44.9612.614.4-1.74

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Battie75750.12-0.620.740.004-5913.415.9-2.4814.915.3-0.45
Dwight Howard69670.02-0.520.55-0.5118-193713.715.0-1.2615.514.21.29
Stacey Augmon3333-0.00-0.500.49-0.155-61113.414.5-1.1017.014.22.81
Andre Barrett2222-0.14-0.360.220.10-87-1513.814.2-0.4312.515.7-3.11
Jameer Nelson9491-0.19-0.310.13-0.397-81513.816.2-2.4415.114.50.58
Brandon Hunter66-0.19-0.310.130.08-98-1720.213.86.3515.215.00.16
Steve Francis9694-0.23-0.270.05-0.5210-112114.312.91.4215.512.03.47
Pat Garrity1415-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.22-76-1314.114.2-0.0212.915.4-2.42
Kelvin Cato5452-0.540.04-0.58-0.30-87-1515.113.21.9015.015.00.04
DeShawn Stevenson8785-0.930.43-1.37-0.44-1716-3314.811.92.9014.417.3-2.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.44,0.53,0.39,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.33,0.25,0.46,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 110, ATL 1050.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.39,0.32,0.46,0.24,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.16,092.2%
DEN 114, MIA 1130.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.67,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.27,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.57,0.16,088.3%
LAC 105, HOU 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.58,088.0%