NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	82		Excitement	4.3 [986]		MVP	Brent Barry (SAS): +13.1%
San Antonio Spurs	91		Comeback	1.2 [1057]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -17.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mamadou N'diaye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Lionel Chalmers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	16	56%	0.08	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	11	38%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	13	42%	-0.05	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	5	120%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	7	89%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.08	10	43%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	6	40%	-0.03	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	9	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	-0.08	4	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	3.4	31.2	16.6	28.3	2.4	31.6	139.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +47.4%

LAC -3.3%

LAC -14.4%

SAS +20.1%

SAS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	16.9	15.1	15.5	90.1	102.2	104.0
season	16.0	16.3		103.0	105.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		98.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.4	18.7	17.5	15.9	16.9
SAS	15.9	13.2	14.5	16.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lionel Chalmers	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-18	27	12.8	17.5	-4.66	17.6	14.7	2.87
Mamadou N'diaye	30	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-13	17	17.6	16.5	1.03	16.3	14.5	1.79
Marko Jaric	50	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-2	-5	17.9	15.7	2.18	15.2	15.0	0.14
Mikki Moore	38	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.09	-10	1	-11	16.7	17.0	-0.24	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Quinton Ross	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-9	9	17.1	16.7	0.43	15.4	14.9	0.41
Rick Brunson	44	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	1	-11	17.6	16.2	1.47	15.6	14.6	1.03
Chris Wilcox	43	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-7	5	17.2	16.6	0.58	14.9	15.3	-0.37
Shaun Livingston	60	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-4	-1	16.1	18.3	-2.19	14.4	16.6	-2.20
Elton Brand	71	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	1	-11	16.5	18.3	-1.82	14.8	16.2	-1.41
Corey Maggette	72	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	5	-19	16.9	16.8	0.11	14.8	16.3	-1.47

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	36	39	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.26	22	-13	35	13.9	15.9	-2.08	19.7	14.7	4.97
Tony Massenburg	34	34	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	-4	17	13.7	16.0	-2.31	17.4	16.6	0.76
Bruce Bowen	65	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	3	3	15.0	15.4	-0.37	16.5	17.9	-1.46
Robert Horry	43	43	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	0	9	14.9	15.3	-0.42	17.6	16.2	1.42
Rasho Nesterovic	48	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	1	7	14.9	15.3	-0.36	17.9	15.7	2.18
Beno Udrih	40	41	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	6	-3	15.4	14.9	0.50	16.9	16.9	-0.05
Brent Barry	47	44	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.26	-1	10	-11	15.7	14.4	1.32	14.6	19.0	-4.34
Tony Parker	49	50	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	4	1	14.9	15.4	-0.50	16.9	16.9	0.05
Sean Marks	32	33	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.17	0	9	-9	15.6	14.8	0.77	17.2	16.7	0.52
Glenn Robinson	20	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	8	-7	14.6	15.2	-0.65	19.5	16.0	3.50
Mike Wilks	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	18	-27	18.3	14.7	3.60	12.2	17.5	-5.26
Nazr Mohammed	21	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.28	-12	21	-33	17.5	14.4	3.11	12.0	18.4	-6.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 86, LAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
SAC 103, ORL 121	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
LAC 75, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%