NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	86		Excitement	4.4 [923]		MVP	Nazr Mohammed (ATL): +11.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	109		Comeback	1.0 [1036]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): -25.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	-0.00	0.02	21	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Crawford	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	58%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Cal Bowdler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.08	7	17%	-0.06	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	9	22%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.20	-0.05	0.00	14	21%	-0.23	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	17	53%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	76%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.02	0.08	8	77%	0.01	1	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	11	43%	-0.01	4	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	35%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	7	47%	-0.02	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	30.6	16.7	25.5	1.7	31.3	133.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +33.4%

LAC +16.4%

LAC +14.7%

ATL -16.4%

LAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAC	NBA	ATL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	15.4	15.6	89.6	112.4	102.3
season	15.5	15.9		99.7	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.5	14.2	14.1	13.4	14.5
LAC	17.0	14.6	16.5	13.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	10	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-21	19	19.8	13.9	5.94	18.2	15.1	3.15
Hanno Mottola	19	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-19	15	16.3	14.0	2.22	14.1	15.7	-1.59
Chris Crawford	46	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.26	-13	-10	-3	15.6	13.5	2.13	14.0	16.7	-2.65
Jacque Vaughn	34	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-15	7	13.4	15.1	-1.65	14.9	15.6	-0.75
Cal Bowdler	28	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-13	3	13.7	14.8	-1.13	14.9	15.6	-0.68
DerMarr Johnson	54	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-15	7	13.9	15.3	-1.39	15.9	14.7	1.24
Toni Kukoc	25	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-13	3	14.4	14.5	-0.05	15.9	15.2	0.75
Nazr Mohammed	68	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-10	-3	14.8	13.7	1.13	15.6	14.9	0.68
Dion Glover	59	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-11	-1	13.2	16.5	-3.22	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Emanual Davis	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-8	-7	14.4	14.8	-0.40	15.7	14.5	1.22
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	67	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	-3	-17	14.7	14.0	0.64	15.6	14.9	0.72

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	70	68	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.20	25	-2	27	14.8	16.8	-2.01	13.8	16.1	-2.25
Eric Piatkowski	54	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	12	-1	16.0	14.6	1.36	15.6	12.9	2.66
Elton Brand	73	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	4	15	15.3	15.5	-0.24	14.9	13.1	1.86
Jeff McInnis	59	59	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.16	17	6	11	16.3	13.9	2.37	15.4	13.0	2.41
Michael Olowokandi	59	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	14	-5	15.8	14.7	1.07	15.6	12.6	2.99
Keyon Dooling	50	48	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.20	13	10	3	13.8	17.1	-3.30	13.6	15.3	-1.67
Corey Maggette	49	49	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	15	-7	15.9	14.9	1.00	14.3	14.7	-0.40
Darius Miles	45	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.16	10	13	-3	14.5	16.1	-1.63	13.9	14.9	-1.04
Obinna Ekezie	16	15	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	19	-15	16.4	15.2	1.21	11.0	15.1	-4.12
Earl Boykins	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	16.4	15.2	1.16	9.8	15.0	-5.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
LAC 82, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIA 90, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%