NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Excitement	10.7 [46]		MVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NOH): +26.7%
New Orleans Hornets	108		Comeback	69.9 [7]		LVP	Dan Dickau (NOH): -60.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.25	-0.03	0.28	-0.00	9	48%	0.28	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.08
Robert Traylor	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.02	0.11	-0.08	0.01	8	81%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	69%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	1	50%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13	0.04	-0.16	0.01	7	70%	-0.11	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
LeBron James	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21	-0.02	-0.15	0.03	29	64%	0.29	10	-0.49	11	82%	-0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.15	-0.01	9	85%	0.33	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17	0.17	-0.01	0.18	-0.01	9	48%	0.17	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	16	65%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	20%	-0.09
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	69%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.04	-0.16	0.00	11	62%	0.10	1	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.24,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.37,-0.37,-0.6	-0.60	-0.12	-0.48	0.01	13	37%	-0.55	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	26.4	15.4	30.3	2.7	37.1	2.5	13.2	154.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH -12.2%

CLE +40.7%

CLE +15.9%

CLE +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOH	NBA	CLE	NOH	NBA
this game	15.6	17.2	15.5	112.4	111.3	104.0
season	16.2	16.5		104.6	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	17.5	18.0	15.2	12.3	16.0	15.6
NOH	16.0	21.0	14.1	17.7	19.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	73	74	1.01	-0.52	1.53	0.40	21	-20	41	14.9	17.8	-2.90	16.9	18.0	-1.14
Jiri Welsch	23	23	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.36	16	-15	31	12.8	16.5	-3.70	18.2	16.9	1.31
Sasha Pavlovic	31	32	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-15	31	13.7	16.5	-2.84	18.4	16.6	1.88
Anderson Varejao	39	39	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-3	7	15.0	16.0	-1.06	19.1	15.9	3.18
LeBron James	97	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	15.6	0.0	15.61	17.2	0.0	17.18
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	51	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	4	-7	16.1	15.1	1.06	16.3	18.2	-1.86
Ira Newble	48	47	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	10	-19	15.6	15.6	0.07	14.9	19.4	-4.51
DeSagana Diop	2	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	3	-5	12.5	15.7	-3.17	2.5	17.5	-14.98
Eric Snow	53	53	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	8	-15	15.7	15.5	0.24	15.8	18.9	-3.09
Lucious Harris	18	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	7	-13	18.8	14.9	3.96	21.0	16.3	4.70
Jeff McInnis	21	21	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.04	-8	9	-17	18.4	14.8	3.60	19.6	16.5	3.12
Robert Traylor	30	28	-0.72	1.22	-1.94	-0.19	-18	19	-37	17.5	14.7	2.79	17.9	16.9	1.01

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	28	30	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.13	-2	1	-3	20.3	15.9	4.42	15.7	15.6	0.13
Chris Andersen	32	32	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.11	-3	2	-5	16.0	17.8	-1.75	16.7	15.0	1.70
Casey Jacobsen	19	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	3	-7	18.7	16.8	1.94	16.4	15.4	1.01
David West	28	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	3	-7	16.7	17.3	-0.60	15.9	15.5	0.37
Bostjan Nachbar	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	4	-9	20.8	14.8	6.03	15.9	15.4	0.56
Lee Nailon	59	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-5	9	14.8	20.8	-6.03	15.4	15.9	-0.56
P.J. Brown	69	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.54	3	-4	7	17.3	16.7	0.60	15.5	15.9	-0.37
J.R. Smith	78	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.59	3	-4	7	16.8	18.7	-1.94	15.4	16.4	-1.01
Jamaal Magloire	65	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.58	2	-3	5	17.8	16.0	1.75	15.0	16.7	-1.70
Dan Dickau	69	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.61	1	-2	3	15.9	20.3	-4.42	15.6	15.7	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.6,0.25,0.21,0.11,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.57,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 130, SAC 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.25,0.09,0	88.6%
BOS 114, CLE 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.52,0.43,0.15,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.28,0	88.1%
SAC 115, DAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.59,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.6,0.33,0.38,0.15,0.25,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	87.1%