inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 114 Excitement10.0 [71] MVPGary Payton (BOS): +28.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers 107 Comeback38.1 [17] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -30.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Payton0.290,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.3,0.290.030.25-0.001658%0.322-0.03475%-0.01
Raef LaFrentz0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.140.040.110.01667%0.1400.006100%0.06
Jiri Welsch0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01462%0.0100.0000%0.00
Marcus Banks-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01457%-0.001-0.03667%-0.02
Al Jefferson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.00550%-0.0300.00667%-0.02
Tony Allen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01460%0.023-0.062100%0.01
Mark Blount-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01425%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Ricky Davis-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.011248%-0.032-0.05580%-0.00
Walter McCarty-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.02-0.09-0.00440%-0.1100.00250%-0.01
Paul Pierce-0.300,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.19,-0.3,-0.30.02-0.320.012063%-0.064-0.241493%0.09

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lucious Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01470%0.0400.00250%-0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0100.002100%0.01
Dajuan Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.04-0.03564%0.014-0.071100%0.01
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.11,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.12-0.052553%0.014-0.11850%-0.05
Jeff McInnis0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.09-0.021453%0.175-0.302100%0.01
Ira Newble0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.06-0.08-0.01520%-0.121-0.0200%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.04-0.13-0.021651%-0.122-0.04978%-0.02
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22-0.22-0.01-0.200.011257%-0.122-0.10683%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.12.432.314.831.01.833.21.516.0156.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +27.8%
BOS +19.2%
CLE -14.3%
BOS +17.2%
BOS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSCLENBABOSCLENBA
this game13.717.015.5110.7102.9104.0
season14.416.2104.7104.6
opponent15.316.0103.9104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS15.013.315.113.59.313.7
CLE16.316.715.517.820.717.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walter McCarty45460.83-0.331.170.3716-92512.215.0-2.7917.816.31.51
Raef LaFrentz60600.75-0.251.000.3115-82313.614.0-0.3517.416.41.00
Ricky Davis77790.75-0.251.000.2816-92512.417.6-5.1716.518.4-1.95
Paul Pierce87870.62-0.120.740.2413-61913.912.91.0317.414.62.77
Gary Payton72720.450.050.410.3734-114.611.82.7317.216.40.85
Marcus Banks31320.050.45-0.41-0.0743111.814.6-2.7316.417.2-0.85
Tony Allen2627-0.160.66-0.830.01-613-1913.014.0-1.0014.917.7-2.80
Jiri Welsch2625-0.250.75-1.000.01-916-2517.612.45.1718.416.51.95
Al Jefferson4344-0.250.75-1.00-0.02-815-2314.013.60.3516.417.4-1.00
Mark Blount4848-0.290.79-1.09-0.03-916-2515.312.42.9716.517.4-0.86

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anderson Varejao22240.16-0.660.830.083-101314.517.6-3.0612.314.2-1.90
Dajuan Wagner17170.15-0.650.79-0.036-131914.817.4-2.6312.714.0-1.25
DeSagana Diop11110.05-0.550.59-0.012-91114.617.2-2.6013.513.8-0.23
LeBron James78790.04-0.540.590.07-1-6516.817.5-0.7714.311.82.55
Sasha Pavlovic3130-0.07-0.430.360.02-3-4117.616.70.9713.214.0-0.77
Ira Newble4848-0.35-0.14-0.21-0.33-1-6516.717.1-0.3915.012.72.27
Drew Gooden8077-0.540.04-0.57-0.36-6-1-517.614.72.8814.411.82.54
Zydrunas Ilgauskas9392-0.550.05-0.59-0.28-92-1117.214.62.6013.813.50.23
Jeff McInnis8786-0.650.15-0.79-0.27-136-1917.414.82.6314.012.71.25
Lucious Harris5351-0.750.25-1.00-0.37-136-1917.016.90.1611.715.7-4.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.52,0.43,0.15,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 119, POR 1170.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.81,0.74,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.34,0.69,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.31,088.9%
CLE 109, NOH 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.6,0.25,0.21,0.11,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.57,0.41,088.1%
TOR 84, GSW 810.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.57,0.42,0.5,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.43,087.9%