NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	102		Excitement	4.8 [897]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +12.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	1.0 [1308]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NOH): -11.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	69%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	4	85%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Dan Dickau	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	13	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jackson Vroman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	7	71%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	7	19%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	13	56%	-0.01	3	-0.08	10	60%	-0.03
Lee Nailon	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	14	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	19	48%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.02	-0.04	12	71%	0.13	2	0.00	10	100%	0.04
Troy Hudson	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.00	12	69%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	15	44%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	75%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Anthony Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	9	57%	0.06	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.6	27.4	16.3	25.6	2.3	34.5	130.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +37.7%

MIN +8.7%

NOH -18.5%

MIN +19.3%

MIN +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIN	NBA	NOH	MIN	NBA
this game	16.9	15.1	15.5	114.6	117.6	104.0
season	16.5	15.8		97.7	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.7		104.6	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.9	17.5	18.7	13.8	16.9
MIN	14.2	13.8	17.3	15.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jackson Vroman	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-5	5	2.0	17.1	-15.06	8.0	15.3	-7.29
Bostjan Nachbar	34	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-9	13	17.3	16.6	0.66	12.8	16.4	-3.58
Casey Jacobsen	42	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-8	11	17.6	16.2	1.43	14.9	15.3	-0.42
David West	43	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-5	5	16.6	17.1	-0.50	15.3	15.0	0.27
P.J. Brown	68	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-5	5	16.4	18.3	-1.89	15.6	13.5	2.09
J.R. Smith	65	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	1	-7	16.6	17.7	-1.12	15.0	15.4	-0.35
Lee Nailon	55	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	4	-13	16.6	17.3	-0.66	16.4	12.8	3.58
Dan Dickau	71	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	2	-9	16.7	17.6	-0.84	15.3	14.3	1.03
Jamaal Magloire	66	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.27	-10	5	-15	17.7	14.4	3.31	14.7	16.2	-1.42

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	70	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	-2	9	14.9	15.8	-0.88	16.5	18.1	-1.58
Fred Hoiberg	48	46	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	3	-1	14.2	16.2	-1.95	15.8	18.0	-2.15
Eddie Griffin	67	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	5	-5	15.8	13.4	2.39	16.2	18.8	-2.61
Trenton Hassell	42	41	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	-4	13	15.7	14.7	1.04	16.8	17.0	-0.24
Troy Hudson	45	44	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	-1	7	15.5	14.8	0.75	16.8	17.0	-0.14
Sam Cassell	46	45	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	6	-7	14.8	15.5	-0.75	17.0	16.8	0.14
Wally Szczerbiak	49	48	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	7	-9	14.7	15.7	-1.04	17.0	16.8	0.24
John Thomas	26	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	7	-9	15.5	15.0	0.46	17.5	16.7	0.81
Michael Olowokandi	14	15	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.13	8	-3	11	16.5	14.9	1.62	22.7	15.7	7.03
Latrell Sprewell	45	44	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	4	-3	15.8	14.5	1.32	17.6	16.2	1.48
Anthony Carter	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	8	-11	1.3	15.6	-14.27	8.0	17.1	-9.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.83,0.74,0.66,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, IND 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,1	94.8%
PHI 91, IND 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
DET 99, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1	94.3%