NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	8.8 [161]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +18.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	3.3 [226]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -67.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	15	71%	0.18	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Chris Duhon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.10	-0.00	7	43%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Reiner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	19	51%	0.10	5	-0.16	5	100%	0.05
Eric Piatkowski	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	3	44%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	25	39%	-0.13	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.13	0.00	3	100%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	13	52%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	7	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.09	0.00	11	37%	-0.14	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.04
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.25,-0.24,-0.18,-0.29,-0.35,-0.35,-0.52,-0.63,-0.68	-0.68	-0.27	-0.42	-0.02	24	48%	-0.19	11	-0.49	16	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	2.6	30.2	15.6	25.0	2.0	32.0	138.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +24.7%

PHI -10.2%

CHI +5.0%

CHI +33.9%

PHI -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	12.9	15.5	92.2	88.0	104.0
season	15.1	13.9		100.1	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.4		101.9	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.7	15.4	16.0	16.7	15.6
PHI	11.9	11.3	14.0	14.7	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	63	62	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.33	20	-14	34	16.0	15.1	0.92	14.2	10.8	3.40
Kirk Hinrich	94	94	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-3	12	15.6	15.2	0.40	12.7	14.8	-2.09
Othella Harrington	54	52	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-7	20	15.6	15.6	0.06	14.2	11.5	2.71
Tyson Chandler	51	52	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	1	4	15.9	15.3	0.61	13.2	12.5	0.63
Antonio Davis	72	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	1	4	16.2	14.2	2.06	12.7	13.2	-0.42
Ben Gordon	72	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	9	-12	15.4	16.1	-0.64	12.5	13.7	-1.15
Andres Nocioni	53	50	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	6	-6	15.5	15.7	-0.19	13.0	12.7	0.34
Jared Reiner	11	11	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.01	-7	13	-20	13.7	15.8	-2.12	8.5	13.4	-4.86
Eric Piatkowski	40	38	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.02	-12	18	-30	14.4	16.4	-1.92	10.8	14.2	-3.40

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	50	51	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-13	20	12.5	13.2	-0.70	17.4	13.8	3.55
Josh Davis	20	22	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.00	5	-11	16	10.6	13.4	-2.78	12.2	16.6	-4.38
Aaron McKie	46	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-9	12	12.4	13.3	-0.93	14.6	16.5	-1.87
Marc Jackson	74	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-9	12	12.7	13.4	-0.70	15.3	16.4	-1.07
Rodney Rogers	33	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	1	-8	13.0	12.8	0.19	17.0	14.9	2.10
John Salmons	40	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	0	-6	12.9	12.8	0.09	14.8	16.2	-1.35
Andre Iguodala	75	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.35	-9	3	-12	13.3	11.5	1.85	16.0	14.5	1.49
Allen Iverson	89	89	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.33	-13	7	-20	12.9	12.5	0.36	15.2	18.6	-3.44
Samuel Dalembert	73	73	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.37	-13	7	-20	13.6	10.9	2.71	16.3	13.9	2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.57,0.58,0.37,0.3,0.4,0.53,0.31,0.36,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 87, SEA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.1,0.02,0	91.9%
DET 106, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.45,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	91.8%
IND 91, SEA 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.17,0.17,0	91.0%