NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	95		Excitement	7.9 [294]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +27.8%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	4.5 [409]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -33.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.07	0.06	0.03	11	71%	0.17	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	21	58%	0.13	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	11	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.07	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	71%	0.02	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.17,-0.29,-0.33	-0.07	-0.27	0.00	12	37%	-0.19	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.11	0.01	12	80%	0.28	0	0.00	16	94%	0.08
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.2,0.04,0.12,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.13	-0.00	19	63%	0.35	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.03	-0.02	20	40%	0.05	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.08	0.02	17	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	-0.00	2	0%	-0.12	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	3.3	25.6	17.6	26.2	2.5	36.3	134.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +7.0%

DET +6.1%

DET +30.8%

DET +9.7%

SEA -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DET	NBA	SEA	DET	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.5	104.4	113.3	104.0
season	16.5	16.7		109.5	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.6		98.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.1	15.2	18.4	15.4	16.0
DET	17.8	18.2	13.7	14.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	30	31	0.48	-0.98	1.47	-0.01	17	-24	41	15.1	16.4	-1.34	17.7	14.8	2.93
Ronald Murray	35	36	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.16	12	-19	31	16.0	16.0	0.05	16.6	15.3	1.36
Antonio Daniels	58	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-14	21	15.8	16.3	-0.48	15.4	16.5	-1.05
Rashard Lewis	83	82	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-5	3	15.8	17.9	-2.06	16.1	13.4	2.69
Luke Ridnour	35	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	5	-17	16.6	15.6	0.97	16.8	15.2	1.51
Vladimir Radmanovic	59	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-7	7	15.6	16.7	-1.06	15.4	16.5	-1.05
Reggie Evans	45	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.02	-19	12	-31	16.7	15.3	1.41	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Ray Allen	54	52	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.14	-21	14	-35	15.8	16.3	-0.55	15.1	16.9	-1.81
Jerome James	56	55	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.36	-17	10	-27	16.6	15.1	1.49	14.9	17.2	-2.30

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	71	72	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.28	22	-15	37	15.3	17.9	-2.69	16.2	15.2	1.00
Chauncey Billups	69	70	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.22	22	-15	37	15.0	18.4	-3.40	16.5	14.3	2.17
Rasheed Wallace	62	64	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.11	18	-11	29	16.0	15.4	0.68	16.1	15.8	0.26
Ben Wallace	72	72	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-2	11	15.1	18.8	-3.69	15.8	16.7	-0.93
Richard Hamilton	76	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	5	-3	15.8	15.7	0.13	15.4	19.0	-3.59
Lindsey Hunter	12	13	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.04	5	2	3	15.3	15.9	-0.56	18.5	15.6	2.87
Antonio McDyess	46	46	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.12	-13	20	-33	16.7	14.9	1.79	16.2	15.8	0.40
Carlos Arroyo	23	23	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.09	-15	22	-37	18.4	14.9	3.45	15.0	16.3	-1.28
Ronald Dupree	19	19	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	0.02	-15	22	-37	17.9	15.3	2.69	15.2	16.2	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.55,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.96,1	92.0%
LAC 98, SEA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.27,0.45,0.55,0.36,0.85,1	90.9%
UTA 84, PHX 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.54,0.29,0.45,0.37,0.68,0.92,1	90.9%