NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	8.8 [92]		MVP	Dale Ellis (SEA): +33.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	104		Comeback	3.7 [402]		LVP	Lamond Murray (LAC): -21.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	11	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.21,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	13	56%	0.16	3	-0.16	1	100%	0.02
Charles Smith	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	12	64%	0.09	5	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	2	83%	0.06	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	10	46%	-0.03	1	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21	-0.06	-0.14	0.01	12	54%	0.04	4	-0.25	4	100%	0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.08	0.25	-0.01	13	69%	0.44	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.06
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	9	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.06	0.01	6	56%	0.10	2	-0.09	4	25%	-0.07
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.00	13	62%	-0.07	1	-0.00	14	79%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	16	60%	0.09	5	-0.16	11	82%	0.05
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	60.6	1.0	26.2	14.7	30.0	1.0	32.3	165.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +7.9%

SEA +25.0%

LAC -23.4%

SEA +45.2%

LAC -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	17.0	13.7	15.8	104.3	110.6	99.6
season	16.7	15.4		97.5	102.4
opponent	15.9	14.7		103.5	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.3	15.5	19.9	16.3	17.0
SEA	12.7	15.2	12.0	15.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	31	32	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.11	3	-9	12	16.2	17.3	-1.09	16.1	12.4	3.71
Charles Smith	27	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-3	0	17.7	16.7	1.00	11.6	14.6	-2.95
Rodney Rogers	23	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-3	0	17.4	16.8	0.57	10.6	14.6	-4.03
Lorenzen Wright	22	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-3	0	18.1	16.6	1.48	17.3	12.5	4.74
Maurice Taylor	63	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-8	10	16.6	17.6	-1.03	14.8	11.2	3.59
Eric Piatkowski	49	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-4	2	17.1	16.8	0.22	14.3	13.0	1.25
Tyrone Nesby	57	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-6	6	16.3	17.9	-1.63	13.2	14.5	-1.37
Michael Olowokandi	79	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	2	-10	16.9	17.4	-0.53	12.6	19.1	-6.49
Lamond Murray	57	55	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	1	-8	16.8	17.3	-0.52	14.7	12.2	2.52
Darrick Martin	62	62	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.43	-9	3	-12	17.6	15.7	1.88	12.4	16.1	-3.71

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	64	64	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.38	18	-12	30	12.6	16.0	-3.46	17.4	16.0	1.41
Detlef Schrempf	79	78	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.41	14	-8	22	13.1	16.6	-3.47	17.6	14.1	3.49
Gary Payton	79	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-2	10	13.0	17.1	-4.11	16.9	17.1	-0.13
Dale Ellis	58	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	5	-4	14.5	12.4	2.14	16.1	18.4	-2.36
Olden Polynice	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.27	1	5	-4	13.2	14.6	-1.34	16.8	17.4	-0.59
Aaron Williams	32	35	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	7	-8	15.5	12.7	2.76	17.2	16.8	0.43
John Crotty	25	24	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.11	-5	11	-16	15.4	13.1	2.34	16.6	17.1	-0.45
Billy Owens	57	56	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.16	-5	11	-16	14.9	11.8	3.04	17.0	16.9	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.27,0.45,0.55,0.36,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.54,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.84,1	92.0%
ORL 94, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.96,1	91.6%
BKN 90, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.38,0.45,0.68,0.92,1	91.1%