NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	6.5 [565]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +28.4%
New Jersey Nets	104		Comeback	1.1 [1084]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -25.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	7	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	22	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ira Newble	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	0.02	-0.00	16	48%	-0.03	5	-0.08	10	80%	-0.00
LeBron James	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25	-0.05	-0.17	0.03	20	56%	-0.06	5	-0.19	10	90%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.29,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.14	-0.02	18	72%	0.33	3	-0.05	11	100%	0.04
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.05	-0.04	13	47%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	43%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	7	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	12	47%	-0.07	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	0.3	31.6	15.0	35.0	2.4	32.6	140.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +26.2%

NJN +7.7%

CLE -15.4%

NJN +22.0%

NJN +9.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	14.6	16.9	15.5	106.5	114.3	104.0
season	16.2	16.0		104.6	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.3		101.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.7	16.0	12.3	13.7	14.6
NJN	16.0	16.7	15.4	19.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	17	18	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.11	2	-8	10	15.7	14.4	1.32	18.5	16.5	2.05
DeSagana Diop	23	22	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.15	8	-14	22	12.0	15.5	-3.57	16.4	17.0	-0.65
Sasha Pavlovic	4	3	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-9	12	15.5	14.6	0.91	21.7	16.7	4.97
Drew Gooden	30	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	5	-16	16.6	13.7	2.97	16.5	17.0	-0.47
Lucious Harris	50	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-10	14	13.6	15.8	-2.17	18.0	15.4	2.51
Ira Newble	37	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	5	-16	16.1	13.7	2.38	15.1	17.9	-2.83
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	67	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.07	-12	6	-18	15.5	12.3	3.23	17.1	16.2	0.94
Robert Traylor	64	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.55	3	-9	12	13.7	16.7	-2.94	16.9	16.7	0.20
LeBron James	88	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	4	-14	14.6	15.5	-0.91	16.6	21.7	-5.12
Jeff McInnis	80	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.48	-6	0	-6	14.4	16.4	-2.05	16.6	18.5	-1.89

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	69	70	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-5	16	16.4	18.4	-1.99	13.9	16.9	-2.94
Jason Collins	54	55	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.16	12	-6	18	16.7	17.1	-0.33	15.2	13.8	1.37
Nenad Krstic	75	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	1	4	17.0	16.0	1.04	14.4	15.6	-1.16
Travis Best	40	39	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	1	4	17.6	16.3	1.33	15.4	14.0	1.40
Jason Kidd	78	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	5	-4	17.2	14.7	2.53	14.8	13.6	1.18
Jacque Vaughn	51	52	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	5	-4	16.2	17.7	-1.50	14.4	14.9	-0.43
Clifford Robinson	36	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	6	-6	16.6	17.0	-0.36	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Elden Campbell	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	7	-8	12.7	17.0	-4.33	10.0	14.8	-4.79
Ron Mercer	35	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	6	-6	17.1	16.7	0.42	15.0	14.4	0.65
Jabari Smith	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	10	-14	17.9	16.7	1.18	14.8	14.6	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 99, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.87,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.96,1	93.5%
LAL 82, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.98,1	92.8%
PHI 82, IND 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.99,1	92.7%