NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	124		Excitement	10.0 [72]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +40.9%
Dallas Mavericks	123		Comeback	63.1 [11]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -36.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.28	-0.01	0.30	0.00	14	60%	0.42	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	17	64%	0.21	2	-0.13	5	80%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,-0.06,0,0	0.06	-0.05	0.01	18	62%	0.10	2	-0.10	6	33%	-0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	20	66%	0.16	5	-0.21	10	70%	-0.02
Jim Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.19	0.17	-0.04	17	75%	0.41	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.08	-0.01	12	79%	0.24	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Darrell Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	0	100%	0.01	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	15	41%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	13	45%	-0.04	4	-0.13	3	33%	-0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.37	-0.37	0.00	-0.35	0.02	18	54%	-0.33	1	-0.04	12	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	30.0	16.5	25.9	2.6	30.5	133.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +72.3%

PHX +5.3%

DAL -0.6%

DAL -30.1%

PHX +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	13.4	13.8	15.5	117.0	116.0	104.0
season	13.5	14.9		112.9	108.2
opponent	15.5	16.0		103.4	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.8	13.2	13.6	14.1	13.4
DAL	13.9	11.6	15.8	14.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	88	87	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.56	7	-6	13	13.5	13.1	0.35	14.1	12.3	1.83
Joe Johnson	90	89	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-4	9	12.8	16.6	-3.79	14.0	12.5	1.47
Jim Jackson	55	55	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.62	-1	2	-3	13.4	13.4	0.03	13.5	14.1	-0.57
Shawn Marion	91	93	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.43	-4	5	-9	12.9	16.4	-3.49	13.6	14.8	-1.15
Walter McCarty	47	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	3	-5	13.3	13.5	-0.12	13.6	13.9	-0.31
Amar'e Stoudemire	79	78	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	-5	11	14.5	10.2	4.32	13.9	13.3	0.60
Steven Hunter	10	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	3	-5	9.1	13.9	-4.75	12.5	13.9	-1.46
Leandro Barbosa	70	71	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.19	-4	5	-9	14.1	12.0	2.09	13.6	14.1	-0.48

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	53	54	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.05	9	-10	19	13.3	14.2	-0.92	12.8	14.0	-1.17
Shawn Bradley	26	24	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.01	5	-6	11	12.7	14.1	-1.42	12.5	13.7	-1.22
Devin Harris	33	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-2	3	13.4	13.9	-0.49	12.1	13.9	-1.85
Darrell Armstrong	6	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	2	-5	13.8	13.8	0.07	18.9	13.0	5.84
DJ Mbenga	20	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	11	-23	16.0	13.2	2.76	14.7	13.1	1.60
Josh Howard	94	93	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.52	10	-11	21	13.6	15.3	-1.77	13.4	13.5	-0.06
Jason Terry	72	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	1	-3	13.9	13.5	0.35	14.0	12.0	2.01
Keith Van Horn	54	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.55	2	-3	5	12.6	14.9	-2.27	12.7	14.2	-1.51
Dirk Nowitzki	90	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.42	-3	2	-5	14.1	11.8	2.30	13.6	12.5	1.07
Michael Finley	82	83	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.48	-12	11	-23	14.5	11.3	3.14	13.5	12.9	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.39,0.64,0.91,0.87,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 99, OKC 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.52,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.47,0.63,0.9,0.85,0	89.8%
LAC 110, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.69,0.85,0	89.7%
DAL 93, TOR 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.72,0.94,0.9,0	89.5%