NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	9.8 [78]		MVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): +37.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	96		Comeback	11.6 [50]		LVP	Anthony Morrow (OKC): -23.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.38	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.38	0.08	0.29	-0.00	9	65%	0.38	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.27	0.16	0.11	-0.00	12	71%	0.30	1	-0.04	11	100%	0.13
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,0.25	-0.01	0.26	-0.01	15	53%	0.33	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.17	0.00	19	48%	-0.07	3	-0.14	4	50%	-0.06

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	9	81%	0.27	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.19,0.27,0.18,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.09	-0.02	20	64%	0.31	6	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	5	73%	0.27	4	-0.20	1	0%	-0.02
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	6	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	0.02	19	57%	0.06	5	-0.16	8	87%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	8	16%	-0.24	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.5	29.4	15.5	24.4	2.4	42.3	144.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +28.0%

MIN +12.4%

OKC -21.7%

MIN +40.2%

OKC -8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	OKC	NBA	MIN	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	13.6	14.9	97.1	95.0	105.1
season	14.8	14.4		104.8	111.5
opponent	15.1	15.0		104.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.9	15.7	15.4	14.3	14.8
OKC	12.7	15.0	14.0	12.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	77	77	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.40	16	-13	29	14.5	15.6	-1.03	13.6	13.5	0.06
Zach LaVine	76	77	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.35	17	-14	31	14.2	16.6	-2.41	13.4	14.0	-0.60
Karl-Anthony Towns	82	83	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.30	17	-14	31	14.5	15.8	-1.33	13.6	13.4	0.24
Andrew Wiggins	77	76	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.42	12	-9	21	14.3	16.3	-1.98	13.4	14.1	-0.71
Gorgui Dieng	68	67	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.10	19	-16	35	14.1	16.2	-2.18	13.4	13.9	-0.54
Shabazz Muhammad	30	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.29	-12	15	-27	16.4	14.1	2.34	13.5	13.6	-0.12
Adreian Payne	9	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	12	-21	16.1	14.7	1.46	10.5	13.8	-3.35
Greg Smith	23	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	10	-17	16.2	14.4	1.85	15.7	13.0	2.68
Nemanja Bjelica	14	13	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.04	-12	15	-27	16.4	14.5	1.82	14.1	13.5	0.57
Tayshaun Prince	29	28	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.03	-13	16	-29	16.1	14.3	1.84	13.9	13.5	0.38
Tyus Jones	25	24	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	0.01	-13	16	-29	15.6	14.5	1.03	13.5	13.6	-0.06

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	44	45	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.48	-13	10	-23	13.3	13.8	-0.51	13.8	15.6	-1.84
Enes Kanter	44	43	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.12	-2	-1	-1	15.3	12.3	3.03	13.9	15.4	-1.52
Anthony Morrow	38	39	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.34	13	-16	29	13.0	13.9	-0.94	16.0	14.0	1.93
Nick Collison	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.45	12	-15	27	12.1	14.3	-2.21	16.3	14.0	2.29
Kyle Singler	43	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.48	11	-14	25	13.4	13.7	-0.33	15.1	14.5	0.62
Andre Roberson	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	8	-19	15.0	13.0	1.97	13.7	15.2	-1.49
Randy Foye	58	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-6	9	13.7	13.4	0.25	15.1	14.3	0.83
Kevin Durant	81	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	2	-7	13.4	14.2	-0.77	14.5	15.8	-1.23
Russell Westbrook	79	79	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.35	-10	7	-17	13.5	14.0	-0.59	14.6	15.3	-0.62
Steven Adams	53	54	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.44	-13	10	-23	13.5	13.7	-0.28	15.0	14.5	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.52,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.47,0.63,0.9,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 105, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.61,0.47,0.64,0.68,0.92,0	91.3%
CHI 115, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.85,0	90.1%
PHX 124, DAL 123	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.39,0.64,0.91,0.87,0	89.8%