NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	90		Excitement	6.3 [598]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +11.9%
Chicago Bulls	97		Comeback	1.6 [920]		LVP	Luol Deng (CHI): -18.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	72%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	56%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Gilbert Arenas	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	33	49%	-0.04	5	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	0.02	0.00	23	37%	-0.04	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	21	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.02	-0.07	21	47%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.04	10	52%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	4	45%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	5	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.01	10	36%	-0.06	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.6	27.2	15.6	26.3	2.4	37.5	134.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +49.2%

WAS -0.4%

CHI +2.6%

WAS -2.2%

CHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.5	92.8	100.0	104.0
season	14.7	15.1		104.7	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		98.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.8	18.7	14.2	13.0	14.5
CHI	13.4	15.6	16.4	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	37	37	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.06	7	-14	21	12.8	15.5	-2.72	15.3	15.1	0.21
Brendan Haywood	69	68	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.32	10	-17	27	14.2	15.1	-0.86	14.6	16.6	-1.93
Kwame Brown	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-4	1	18.3	13.9	4.43	16.5	15.0	1.52
Antawn Jamison	86	86	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.32	3	-10	13	14.2	16.5	-2.21	14.9	17.5	-2.55
Anthony Peeler	13	13	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	0	-7	14.9	14.4	0.49	18.5	14.7	3.86
Steve Blake	40	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.22	-5	-2	-3	14.2	14.7	-0.46	14.6	15.6	-0.93
Jarvis Hayes	84	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-3	-1	14.2	16.6	-2.45	15.4	13.8	1.65
Gilbert Arenas	90	91	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-3	-1	14.4	15.6	-1.16	14.8	21.5	-6.72
Michael Ruffin	31	32	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.07	-13	6	-19	14.9	14.3	0.65	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Etan Thomas	21	21	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	12	-31	18.0	13.5	4.53	17.7	14.5	3.21

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	43	43	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.09	28	-21	49	15.3	15.1	0.19	16.0	13.3	2.62
Tyson Chandler	61	62	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.23	22	-15	37	14.8	15.8	-0.97	15.3	13.0	2.34
Ben Gordon	57	56	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-5	17	15.0	15.4	-0.39	14.7	14.2	0.56
Othella Harrington	32	35	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.04	18	-11	29	17.0	14.3	2.69	16.8	13.2	3.61
Kirk Hinrich	79	80	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.33	-5	12	-17	15.0	16.1	-1.06	13.7	18.2	-4.46
Chris Duhon	67	67	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	3	1	15.1	15.3	-0.20	14.5	14.5	-0.06
Antonio Davis	51	49	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.22	-9	16	-25	15.2	15.2	0.04	12.8	16.2	-3.43
Luol Deng	47	47	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	0.09	-17	24	-41	15.3	15.1	0.16	13.8	15.1	-1.33
Eddy Curry	48	46	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.12	-18	25	-43	14.9	15.5	-0.68	13.8	15.1	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.91,1	92.7%
CHI 101, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.81,0.95,0.95,0.83,1	92.6%
POR 106, CHI 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,0.96,1	92.2%