NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	71		Excitement	4.4 [960]		MVP	Michael Olowokandi (MIN): +10.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	82		Comeback	3.0 [762]		LVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): -15.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	0.00	26	55%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	14	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	8%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	14	39%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	8%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nenad Krstic	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.04	8	15%	-0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.00	11	68%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	17	38%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	57%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.04	-0.02	16	42%	-0.00	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	8	41%	-0.03	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	26.3	15.4	25.2	1.8	31.4	125.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +29.0%

MIN +14.6%

MIN +7.7%

NJN -2.9%

MIN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIN	NBA	NJN	MIN	NBA
this game	17.3	19.1	15.5	91.0	102.5	104.0
season	16.0	15.8		99.2	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.6		104.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.1	19.1	22.3	12.0	17.3
MIN	20.8	17.9	16.8	20.7	19.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	34	33	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.16	9	-20	29	17.8	17.0	0.82	18.3	19.6	-1.30
Billy Thomas	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-12	13	14.7	18.0	-3.30	18.4	19.3	-0.83
Vince Carter	64	65	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.36	11	-22	33	16.9	19.5	-2.64	19.0	19.5	-0.45
Nenad Krstic	61	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.29	5	-16	21	16.7	19.8	-3.11	19.0	19.3	-0.27
Elden Campbell	6	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-2	-7	21.7	17.0	4.69	19.0	19.1	-0.11
Jason Collins	36	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-8	5	19.8	15.2	4.59	18.8	19.4	-0.64
Jabari Smith	29	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	10	-31	19.2	16.2	2.93	18.7	19.3	-0.54
Jason Kidd	64	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-3	-5	17.2	18.0	-0.81	19.5	17.1	2.42
Travis Best	33	34	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.04	-20	9	-29	16.4	18.0	-1.58	19.9	18.5	1.31
Ron Mercer	48	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.02	-20	9	-29	16.6	18.4	-1.79	19.4	18.6	0.85

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	59	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-4	19	19.6	17.8	1.75	16.1	20.4	-4.22
Michael Olowokandi	51	51	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-9	29	18.1	20.8	-2.71	19.5	13.3	6.12
Fred Hoiberg	33	33	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	-5	21	18.2	19.7	-1.56	18.5	16.5	1.94
Eddie Griffin	33	32	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	5	1	19.4	18.9	0.55	16.4	18.0	-1.63
Troy Hudson	41	41	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	7	-3	19.1	19.1	0.10	18.2	16.4	1.82
Anthony Carter	39	37	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	4	3	19.1	19.1	-0.10	16.4	18.2	-1.82
Kevin Garnett	56	54	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	11	-11	19.1	19.2	-0.10	16.9	18.3	-1.44
Trenton Hassell	23	24	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	10	-9	19.1	19.1	-0.02	17.5	17.3	0.18
John Thomas	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	19.0	19.1	-0.10	16.0	17.4	-1.35
Latrell Sprewell	51	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.26	-9	20	-29	19.3	18.8	0.54	16.9	18.0	-1.12
Ervin Johnson	13	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	16	-21	21.8	18.6	3.19	16.9	17.4	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 87, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
GSW 88, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
DAL 102, DET 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.37,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%