NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	4.6 [885]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +15.5%
Detroit Pistons	115		Comeback	2.0 [805]		LVP	Antoine Walker (DAL): -9.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.01	0.07	9	73%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	14	64%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	10	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	11	35%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.01	-0.04	9	86%	0.18	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.03	0.04	20	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	8	77%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	8	70%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	10	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	70%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.01	15	47%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	31.0	16.6	27.3	1.7	26.2	127.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.7%

DET +12.3%

DET +9.7%

DAL -11.1%

DET +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	DET	NBA	DAL	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	17.1	15.7	112.1	127.8	100.5
season	14.6	16.2		109.2	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.6		92.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.9	13.8	15.6	14.6	14.7
DET	18.7	15.5	15.7	19.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	16	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	11.2	15.5	-4.22	18.0	16.9	1.08
Mamadou N'diaye	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	9.2	15.1	-5.95	18.2	17.0	1.13
Travis Best	17	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-15	17	13.0	15.1	-2.12	17.5	17.0	0.51
Dirk Nowitzki	63	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-6	-1	14.5	15.2	-0.71	16.5	18.4	-1.90
Shawn Bradley	17	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-5	-3	15.9	14.4	1.50	18.7	16.8	1.87
Antoine Walker	58	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-5	-3	15.2	13.9	1.28	16.9	17.4	-0.45
Steve Nash	62	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	-4	-5	15.0	14.1	0.91	17.6	16.0	1.53
Michael Finley	65	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-4	-5	15.0	14.0	0.96	16.7	18.3	-1.60
Tony Delk	32	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	14.6	14.8	-0.25	16.1	17.6	-1.47
Marquis Daniels	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-5	-3	14.8	14.6	0.22	18.0	15.1	2.86
Antawn Jamison	56	55	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.09	-22	9	-31	15.6	13.3	2.29	16.5	18.0	-1.45

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	60	61	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.11	18	-5	23	16.5	18.2	-1.68	15.2	13.7	1.48
Ben Wallace	70	68	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	4	5	17.1	17.2	-0.11	14.9	14.2	0.74
Richard Hamilton	62	63	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	9	-5	16.2	19.1	-2.95	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Mehmet Okur	53	53	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	6	1	18.2	15.5	2.76	14.9	14.4	0.48
Tayshaun Prince	69	69	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	10	-7	17.6	15.7	1.88	14.9	14.3	0.54
Elden Campbell	24	23	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	0	13	18.4	16.6	1.78	14.7	14.7	0.02
Chucky Atkins	52	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	6	1	17.4	16.7	0.69	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Bob Sura	20	20	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	11	-9	18.0	16.9	1.14	13.8	15.0	-1.12
Darvin Ham	31	33	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	11	-9	15.0	18.2	-3.17	14.5	14.8	-0.28
Corliss Williamson	8	9	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	7	-1	19.7	16.9	2.90	16.0	14.6	1.41
Darko Milicic	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	12.8	17.4	-4.56	9.2	15.1	-5.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.37,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 87, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%
ATL 83, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CLE 92, CHI 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%