NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	9.4 [113]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (LAL): +33.6%
New Jersey Nets	103		Comeback	433.8 [2]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -50.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.34	0.01	0.31	-0.01	11	58%	0.39	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,0.06,0.06	-0.05	0.11	-0.01	15	51%	0.16	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.07	0.02	11	74%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Tierre Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Lamar Odom	-0.51	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.21,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.29,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.26,-0.26,-0.4,-0.51	-0.24	-0.28	-0.01	18	37%	-0.18	7	-0.33	7	86%	0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.14	-0.02	22	58%	0.28	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	4	100%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.10	-0.01	5	40%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	-0.03	15	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	5	20%	-0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,-0.1,-0.37	-0.37	-0.06	-0.31	0.00	23	48%	-0.33	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.7	1.7	30.3	15.5	25.2	1.8	35.1	1.5	15.6	149.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +43.3%

NJN -0.7%

LAL +45.5%

NJN -40.7%

LAL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NJN	NBA	LAL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.5	15.5	102.0	104.0	104.0
season	15.7	16.0		105.8	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.3		101.6	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	16.4	13.8	18.3	14.1	21.4	16.1
NJN	16.3	15.0	13.0	18.6	13.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	83	82	1.00	-0.50	1.49	0.47	18	-17	35	16.2	15.8	0.34	16.0	13.4	2.54
Chucky Atkins	74	72	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.41	15	-14	29	16.6	14.9	1.64	15.2	16.4	-1.28
Lamar Odom	89	87	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.39	9	-8	17	16.1	16.5	-0.39	15.3	16.9	-1.59
Jumaine Jones	91	86	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.53	4	-3	7	16.4	14.0	2.37	15.3	17.1	-1.80
Luke Walton	57	55	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.64	-9	10	-19	15.8	16.5	-0.66	15.9	15.0	0.93
Chris Mihm	43	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.20	9	-8	17	17.8	14.9	2.97	15.9	15.3	0.59
Sasha Vujacic	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	3	-5	2.0	16.3	-14.26	17.0	15.5	1.50
Brian Grant	9	10	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	12	-23	14.9	16.2	-1.35	14.7	15.6	-0.91
Tierre Brown	28	27	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.06	-14	15	-29	14.9	16.6	-1.64	16.4	15.2	1.28
Brian Cook	35	33	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	-0.05	-14	15	-29	14.5	17.0	-2.44	14.6	16.0	-1.32

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	70	71	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.19	2	-3	5	15.6	15.4	0.19	16.3	15.7	0.59
Travis Best	12	14	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.03	3	-4	7	14.7	15.6	-0.97	14.1	16.4	-2.29
Zoran Planinic	6	7	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-3	5	14.0	15.6	-1.61	13.1	16.3	-3.19
Ron Mercer	21	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-2	3	14.5	15.8	-1.26	12.5	17.1	-4.61
Billy Thomas	72	73	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.57	13	-14	27	15.1	16.7	-1.69	15.7	17.2	-1.47
Jabari Smith	52	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.74	16	-17	33	15.2	15.9	-0.76	17.7	14.4	3.29
Nenad Krstic	27	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.17	-15	14	-29	15.4	15.5	-0.10	16.4	16.0	0.34
Jason Kidd	91	94	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.49	-2	1	-3	15.3	18.2	-2.98	16.3	13.6	2.70
Jacque Vaughn	74	74	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.30	-13	12	-25	15.9	14.4	1.44	16.4	15.4	1.05
Vince Carter	70	72	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.55	-12	11	-23	16.7	12.6	4.14	16.3	15.7	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.46,0.53,0.37,0.68,0.31,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 132, DEN 129	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.85,0.74,0.5,0.39,0.55,0.32,0.27,0	89.3%
MIL 119, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.04,0	89.2%
NJN 103, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.26,0	89.0%