NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	115		Excitement	7.6 [335]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): +29.7%
Sacramento Kings	116		Comeback	231.6 [5]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (NYK): -57.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.18	0.09	-0.02	19	77%	0.36	2	-0.06	10	50%	-0.03
Trevor Ariza	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.01	15	66%	0.11	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bruno Sundov	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	76%	0.10	5	-0.14	5	40%	-0.03
Michael Sweetney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.57	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.57	-0.07	-0.50	-0.00	6	50%	-0.13	4	-0.44	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.00	25	62%	0.19	1	-0.04	14	50%	-0.08
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	20	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	16	81%	-0.10
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	10	59%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.05
Maurice Evans	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	9	30%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	25.8	15.7	26.3	2.5	41.3	138.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -25.6%

SAC +27.2%

NYK -8.6%

SAC +57.2%

NYK -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	16.5	13.4	15.5	119.8	119.6	104.0
season	15.8	14.7		103.9	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.3		106.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.5	18.5	15.3	16.7	16.5
SAC	14.5	13.6	14.7	11.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Sweetney	38	41	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.16	4	-5	9	17.1	16.1	1.08	13.5	13.3	0.14
Nazr Mohammed	48	49	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.02	4	-5	9	16.2	16.8	-0.58	14.4	12.3	2.07
Jamison Brewer	19	21	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-2	3	18.2	16.1	2.09	13.4	13.4	-0.00
Bruno Sundov	9	9	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-2	3	17.7	16.4	1.31	15.1	13.2	1.91
Jamal Crawford	71	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-3	5	16.2	17.2	-1.03	13.6	12.8	0.73
Trevor Ariza	49	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	2	-5	15.7	17.3	-1.60	14.7	12.1	2.64
Kurt Thomas	75	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.53	-1	0	-1	16.5	16.4	0.13	13.3	13.8	-0.56
Stephon Marbury	76	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.50	-2	1	-3	16.4	16.7	-0.34	13.4	13.4	-0.05
Anfernee Hardaway	49	48	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.64	-4	3	-7	16.1	16.9	-0.73	12.2	14.5	-2.28
Tim Thomas	46	46	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.56	-7	6	-13	17.0	16.0	1.04	11.6	15.0	-3.37

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	81	80	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.45	11	-10	21	13.4	13.5	-0.14	16.3	17.3	-1.00
Mike Bibby	88	87	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.39	11	-10	21	13.3	14.3	-1.05	16.5	16.6	-0.08
Kevin Martin	47	47	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.63	1	0	1	11.9	14.8	-2.93	15.9	17.0	-1.06
Brad Miller	83	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	-2	5	13.6	11.9	1.70	16.7	15.2	1.48
Maurice Evans	79	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.59	-5	6	-11	13.3	13.8	-0.55	16.4	17.0	-0.63
Michael Bradley	14	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.13	3	-2	5	13.8	13.3	0.47	18.4	16.2	2.20
Greg Ostertag	24	23	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.01	-6	7	-13	12.5	13.7	-1.23	16.8	16.4	0.40
Eddie House	9	9	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.08	-10	11	-21	14.3	13.3	1.05	16.6	16.5	0.08
Darius Songaila	60	59	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.13	-3	4	-7	14.7	11.3	3.37	16.4	16.6	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.07,0,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 96, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.18,1	92.3%
DAL 92, NOH 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.21,0.29,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,1	92.0%
TOR 79, CHH 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.15,0.06,0.26,1	91.2%