NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	128		Excitement	9.5 [102]		MVP	Brent Barry (SAS): +83.7%
Phoenix Suns	123		Comeback	54.2 [10]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -46.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.84	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.7,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84	0.14	0.68	-0.01	10	80%	0.84	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.36	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36	0.30	0.09	0.03	22	86%	0.43	3	-0.07	12	92%	0.09
Tim Duncan	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.10	0.01	20	61%	0.25	4	-0.14	9	67%	0.05
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Devin Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	12%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	8	50%	-0.05	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.19	-0.04	-0.01	9	11%	-0.13	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7	0.70	0.22	0.49	0.01	21	77%	0.76	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.19	0.01	19	73%	0.41	3	-0.11	10	50%	-0.14
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	14	64%	0.14	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.03
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.11	-0.00	18	30%	-0.20	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.29,-0.29,-0.37,-0.45,-0.47,-0.46	-0.46	-0.09	-0.34	0.04	13	57%	-0.20	7	-0.27	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.9	2.8	33.6	18.0	32.2	4.3	36.8	0.7	19.2	169.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +10.3%

SAS +17.8%

SAS +9.4%

SAS +15.3%

PHX -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	12.8	15.5	115.3	111.8	104.0
season	16.3	13.5		105.8	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.6		106.2	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	18.9	15.9	15.9	13.9	15.2	16.0
PHX	11.9	13.4	12.3	13.8	12.1	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	72	73	1.21	-0.71	1.92	0.74	16	-11	27	16.1	15.8	0.33	13.5	11.3	2.20
Devin Brown	52	52	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.41	15	-10	25	15.0	16.8	-1.81	12.7	12.9	-0.17
Beno Udrih	55	53	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.38	16	-11	27	14.9	17.1	-2.16	13.1	12.5	0.64
Manu Ginobili	96	94	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-11	27	15.5	18.8	-3.26	12.6	13.9	-1.35
Tim Duncan	91	93	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.20	14	-9	23	16.6	13.3	3.27	12.9	12.0	0.92
Rasho Nesterovic	26	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	3	-1	16.2	15.9	0.32	11.7	13.1	-1.37
Tony Massenburg	24	22	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.03	-11	16	-27	17.9	15.4	2.47	12.9	12.8	0.10
Tony Parker	56	57	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.02	-11	16	-27	17.1	14.9	2.16	12.5	13.1	-0.64
Malik Rose	41	41	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.11	-18	23	-41	15.5	16.3	-0.82	13.1	12.6	0.54
Bruce Bowen	42	40	-0.72	1.22	-1.93	-0.30	-14	19	-33	16.0	16.0	-0.05	11.9	13.3	-1.31

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	18	20	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.03	2	-7	9	12.8	12.8	-0.00	14.9	16.2	-1.32
Smush Parker	8	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-2	-1	14.6	12.6	1.99	14.2	16.2	-1.96
Jake Voskuhl	17	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	1	-7	13.2	12.7	0.47	16.6	15.9	0.71
Amar'e Stoudemire	95	98	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.44	2	-7	9	12.8	12.9	-0.18	15.9	16.2	-0.28
Joe Johnson	108	109	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-4	3	12.7	17.0	-4.30	16.1	8.5	7.62
Shawn Marion	105	104	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	0	-5	12.7	13.8	-1.07	16.2	12.4	3.79
Steve Nash	94	93	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	0	-5	12.7	13.0	-0.26	16.1	15.2	0.97
Quentin Richardson	105	106	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.35	-9	4	-13	12.8	13.2	-0.44	15.8	20.2	-4.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.72,0.84,0.84,0.54,0.38,0.21,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 126, MIL 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.11,0.1,0.05,0	90.0%
NYK 112, ATL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.83,0.91,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.01,0	89.9%
ORL 85, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.04,0	89.7%