NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	84		Excitement	6.1 [627]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): +27.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Comeback	2.2 [815]		LVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): -13.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	-0.04	0.06	-0.05	22	41%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	18	66%	0.13	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	19	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Richie Frahm	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.15	-0.00	17	69%	0.31	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.01	10	68%	0.21	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	15	53%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	13	37%	-0.05	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	27.7	15.0	21.7	1.8	30.6	119.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +29.9%

MIN +5.3%

MIN +21.8%

POR -9.5%

MIN +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	16.4	17.1	15.5	97.7	107.0	104.0
season	15.8	15.8		101.2	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.6		104.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.0	17.1	16.4	15.9	16.4
MIN	18.3	14.8	17.9	17.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	12	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-9	10	15.1	16.6	-1.51	14.3	17.5	-3.25
Theo Ratliff	62	61	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.38	11	-19	30	15.9	17.6	-1.66	17.9	15.1	2.80
Richie Frahm	8	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-5	2	18.4	16.2	2.20	17.1	17.1	0.02
Sebastian Telfair	14	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	0	-8	18.9	15.9	2.95	15.6	17.4	-1.75
Derek Anderson	26	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-8	8	15.6	16.7	-1.16	17.9	16.7	1.20
Joel Przybilla	48	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	2	-12	16.7	16.0	0.64	17.0	17.2	-0.15
James Thomas	19	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	4	-16	17.4	16.1	1.33	16.0	17.4	-1.42
Damon Stoudamire	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	16.0	21.0	-5.03	16.9	19.1	-2.22
Nick Van Exel	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-5	2	16.4	16.7	-0.36	17.5	12.1	5.40
Ruben Patterson	83	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	3	-14	16.6	11.0	5.58	16.9	22.7	-5.76

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	68	67	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.25	12	-4	16	16.7	18.5	-1.76	17.0	14.3	2.65
Latrell Sprewell	56	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	5	-2	16.1	19.0	-2.91	16.3	16.5	-0.13
Trenton Hassell	46	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	-1	10	16.0	18.3	-2.33	16.5	16.2	0.27
Troy Hudson	53	53	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.20	2	6	-4	17.3	16.8	0.56	15.8	17.3	-1.49
Anthony Carter	33	33	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	2	4	16.8	17.3	-0.56	17.3	15.8	1.49
Fred Hoiberg	25	25	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	1	6	18.3	16.6	1.71	16.4	16.4	0.02
Eddie Griffin	57	57	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	9	-10	17.1	17.2	-0.10	16.2	16.8	-0.62
John Thomas	34	36	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	2	4	18.0	16.5	1.43	16.3	16.5	-0.18
Wally Szczerbiak	46	47	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	11	-14	18.5	15.5	2.91	16.0	16.9	-0.94
Ervin Johnson	12	11	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	9	-10	18.1	16.9	1.14	15.7	16.5	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	93.8%
BOS 102, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.89,0.96,1,1	92.5%
SEA 96, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.97,1,1	92.4%