NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	6.1 [589]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (MIL): +17.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	2.2 [831]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -15.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marko Jaric	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	11	78%	0.19	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	13	67%	0.25	6	-0.18	4	100%	0.03
Trenton Hassell	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	78%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.01	-0.00	-0.05	11	57%	0.13	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Richie Frahm	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Olowokandi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.08	0.02	13	47%	-0.08	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	6	117%	0.27	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.00	0.11	-0.03	20	55%	0.22	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	5	53%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.08	-0.03	10	43%	0.12	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.03
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	54%	-0.02	1	0.03	6	50%	-0.04
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	7	47%	0.03	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.01	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	31.4	16.4	26.4	2.3	34.6	136.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +18.2%

MIL +11.5%

MIL +0.2%

MIL +22.2%

MIN -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MIL	NBA	MIN	MIL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.6	103.4	104.4	104.4
season	16.1	15.5		101.0	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.9		106.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	17.0	18.0	15.1	16.3
MIL	15.9	13.7	17.1	16.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-2	1	22.7	16.1	6.55	12.5	15.7	-3.24
Eddie Griffin	36	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-5	7	15.5	16.9	-1.45	16.5	15.1	1.33
Ronald Dupree	10	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	2	-7	20.4	15.8	4.58	12.4	16.1	-3.67
Richie Frahm	29	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-3	3	18.2	15.4	2.77	16.1	15.4	0.65
Rashad McCants	8	7	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	6	-15	17.0	16.3	0.73	12.4	15.9	-3.51
Marko Jaric	74	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.45	8	-11	19	15.9	18.5	-2.56	16.3	12.4	3.92
Kevin Garnett	71	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.36	5	-8	13	15.9	18.2	-2.36	15.9	14.9	0.97
Michael Olowokandi	37	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	6	-15	17.9	15.2	2.75	15.1	16.1	-1.06
Trenton Hassell	73	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.32	-1	-2	1	16.1	17.2	-1.11	16.0	14.3	1.65
Wally Szczerbiak	62	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.44	1	-4	5	15.3	18.6	-3.29	15.7	15.6	0.09
Troy Hudson	42	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	3	-9	16.2	16.4	-0.23	14.6	16.6	-1.91

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	58	58	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-8	19	16.1	15.0	1.10	16.8	15.4	1.46
T.J. Ford	79	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.38	0	3	-3	15.8	14.6	1.25	16.1	17.5	-1.32
Jamaal Magloire	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	4	-5	16.4	14.6	1.80	16.6	16.0	0.62
Jermaine Jackson	32	29	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	-4	11	14.1	16.5	-2.48	16.7	16.1	0.57
Toni Kukoc	45	44	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	1	1	15.6	15.8	-0.23	15.7	16.9	-1.21
Michael Redd	74	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	5	-7	15.7	15.5	0.17	16.5	15.5	1.05
Dan Gadzuric	30	29	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	-2	7	15.3	15.8	-0.50	15.3	16.8	-1.52
Andrew Bogut	52	52	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	3	-3	15.6	15.7	-0.13	17.4	14.8	2.61
Jiri Welsch	33	31	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.23	-7	10	-17	15.4	15.8	-0.43	14.6	17.2	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.99,1	94.7%
POR 77, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.86,1,1,1,1	94.2%
PHI 106, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%