NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	112		Excitement	13.3 [8]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +49.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	114		Comeback	3.8 [482]		LVP	Udonis Haslem (MIA): -21.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.38,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.00	14	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.05	-0.10	0.13	-0.02	14	32%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Wesley Person	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.08	-0.00	12	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.23,-0.26,-0.36,-0.42,-0.37,-0.4,-0.47,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.03	-0.00	25	50%	-0.04	4	-0.15	28	54%	-0.38
Udonis Haslem	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.22	-0.01	-0.19	0.01	11	53%	-0.19	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.07

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,0.49	0.49	-0.06	0.56	0.01	22	49%	0.60	2	-0.11	13	85%	0.14
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.12	0.00	14	57%	0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.13	0.00	18	62%	0.12	3	-0.23	11	82%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14	-0.14	0.03	-0.17	-0.00	12	50%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	28.3	1.8	29.5	16.4	24.6	2.5	36.2	1.6	20.0	1.6	19.5	181.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +57.6%

LAC +12.3%

LAC +2.5%

MIA -9.7%

MIA -12.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	LAC	NBA	MIA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.2	15.4	15.5	102.8	102.7	104.0
season	15.7	16.0		107.9	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	16.0	16.6	14.6	15.8	20.4	16.1
LAC	14.0	15.4	14.2	17.6	17.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	68	71	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-8	14	17.1	14.8	2.30	16.2	14.0	2.16
Damon Jones	87	88	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.36	9	-11	20	16.0	17.0	-1.01	15.6	14.5	1.11
Wesley Person	9	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	3	-8	19.1	16.0	3.13	16.6	15.3	1.31
Shaquille O'Neal	94	96	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.48	12	-14	26	15.6	20.0	-4.36	15.6	14.1	1.47
Christian Laettner	16	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	4	-10	16.4	16.2	0.23	17.7	15.0	2.74
Keyon Dooling	22	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	9	-20	17.0	16.0	1.01	15.1	15.5	-0.39
Udonis Haslem	85	87	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-6	10	15.8	17.7	-1.94	14.8	17.5	-2.73
Eddie Jones	95	96	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.40	3	-5	8	15.9	18.7	-2.84	15.1	17.5	-2.46
Michael Doleac	15	15	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	12	-26	20.0	15.6	4.36	14.1	15.6	-1.47
Shandon Anderson	46	46	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.46	-8	6	-14	15.2	17.0	-1.88	14.3	16.2	-1.81

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	49	48	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.32	17	-15	32	15.7	15.1	0.59	17.0	15.6	1.40
Darrick Martin	61	60	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.17	19	-17	36	16.7	13.9	2.81	17.0	15.3	1.73
Elton Brand	102	100	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.72	-1	3	-4	15.4	15.6	-0.16	16.4	14.2	2.20
Chris Kaman	51	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	3	-4	15.0	15.7	-0.68	15.5	17.0	-1.50
Quinton Ross	10	9	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	-1	4	10.9	15.9	-4.95	14.3	16.4	-2.08
Bobby Simmons	85	81	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	-3	8	15.3	15.9	-0.63	15.4	18.5	-3.09
Zeljko Rebraca	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	2	-2	16.0	15.2	0.86	17.8	15.7	2.11
Mikki Moore	14	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	-3	8	14.9	15.5	-0.63	16.5	16.2	0.34
Corey Maggette	79	79	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.45	-18	20	-38	15.4	15.4	0.04	15.9	17.0	-1.05
Mamadou N'diaye	17	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.07	-3	5	-8	16.7	15.2	1.54	16.7	16.2	0.55
Rick Brunson	49	49	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.10	-16	18	-34	14.1	16.4	-2.33	15.3	17.0	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.74,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.69,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.46,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, SEA 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.53,0.79,0.83,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.67,0.87,1	86.6%
DET 113, BOS 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.37,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.96,0.91,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.42,1	86.5%
IND 77, CLE 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.84,0.96,1	86.5%