NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	77		Excitement	6.2 [530]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +6.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Comeback	2.3 [549]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -19.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	5	79%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Rik Smits	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.04	17	68%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Derrick McKey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	16	53%	0.08	4	-0.16	2	100%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	10	35%	-0.03	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	6	21%	-0.14	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	21	60%	0.14	3	-0.11	10	90%	0.05
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	43%	-0.06	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	12	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.08
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.04
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	4	69%	0.03	5	-0.14	8	87%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	25.6	17.8	31.2	2.0	30.2	133.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +19.4%

CLE +6.5%

CLE +6.8%

CLE +16.3%

CLE +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	16.7	16.3	15.6	87.5	98.9	102.5
season	16.0	15.4		105.3	99.4
opponent	16.0	16.1		97.0	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.4	17.8	15.0	16.7	16.7
CLE	15.4	17.3	15.7	16.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mullin	39	38	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.04	7	-16	23	16.6	16.7	-0.12	15.3	17.0	-1.62
Rik Smits	58	57	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.30	10	-19	29	17.6	14.8	2.82	16.9	15.0	1.86
Mark Jackson	62	63	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-13	17	16.7	16.7	0.01	16.2	16.4	-0.17
Antonio Davis	38	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-6	3	16.4	16.8	-0.42	16.9	15.7	1.12
Dale Davis	63	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	16.3	17.6	-1.37	16.4	16.0	0.37
Reggie Miller	81	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-3	-3	16.4	19.9	-3.47	16.1	18.1	-2.06
Travis Best	26	24	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	4	-17	16.7	16.7	-0.01	16.4	16.2	0.17
Derrick McKey	23	23	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.04	-19	10	-29	17.0	16.6	0.40	14.7	16.8	-2.12
Jalen Rose	50	51	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.14	-18	9	-27	16.6	16.8	-0.18	16.6	15.8	0.76

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	59	61	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.26	14	-5	19	15.4	18.0	-2.63	17.0	15.9	1.16
Derek Anderson	59	59	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-4	17	16.4	16.0	0.37	15.9	18.3	-2.41
Shawn Kemp	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-1	11	16.3	15.9	0.42	17.0	13.3	3.70
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	62	63	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	5	-1	16.5	15.5	1.03	17.1	15.6	1.42
Cedric Henderson	79	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	0	9	16.3	16.0	0.28	16.9	14.0	2.93
Vitaly Potapenko	31	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	7	-5	16.2	16.3	-0.14	15.2	17.5	-2.36
Bob Sura	1	1	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	11	-13	58.0	15.8	42.23	17.0	16.7	0.34
Wesley Person	65	64	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	14	-19	16.0	17.1	-1.18	16.6	16.8	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 108, SEA 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.96,1	93.4%
MEM 90, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	93.0%
NOP 107, HOU 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.99,1	92.5%