NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	9.9 [73]		MVP	Marc Jackson (PHI): +8.7%
Denver Nuggets	97		Comeback	11.9 [171]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -43.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	79%	0.17	1	-0.08	5	100%	0.05
Kyle Korver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	9	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	9	68%	0.09	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	4	60%	0.10	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.06
Allen Iverson	-0.43	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.38,-0.43	-0.16	-0.27	0.00	28	44%	-0.32	5	-0.11	10	50%	-0.13

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.27,0.27,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	69%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.08
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0	0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.01	13	57%	0.11	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.06
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.13,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	12	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	6	7%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	6	39%	-0.19	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	-0.01	25	43%	-0.12	3	-0.16	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.7	33.0	17.4	25.4	2.5	39.4	148.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -7.7%

PHI -14.5%

DEN +40.2%

DEN +30.5%

DEN +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	12.8	15.3	15.5	89.3	95.1	104.0
season	13.9	14.8		101.1	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	11.1	14.5	11.9	12.8
DEN	15.4	13.8	19.8	13.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	13	15	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.19	17	-22	39	9.8	13.3	-3.41	16.6	15.1	1.54
Kevin Ollie	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-4	3	11.6	13.0	-1.33	13.7	15.5	-1.75
Kenny Thomas	43	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-4	3	14.8	11.4	3.45	16.1	14.7	1.46
Samuel Dalembert	40	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	4	-13	14.3	11.9	2.45	15.7	15.0	0.63
Willie Green	39	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	4	-13	14.6	11.8	2.80	15.5	15.1	0.44
Kyle Korver	80	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.46	7	-12	19	11.6	17.2	-5.60	14.9	16.6	-1.75
Marc Jackson	63	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.48	4	-9	13	11.9	14.3	-2.45	15.0	15.7	-0.63
Corliss Williamson	60	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	11.4	14.8	-3.45	14.7	16.1	-1.46
Allen Iverson	92	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	13.0	11.6	1.33	15.5	13.7	1.75
Andre Iguodala	74	71	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.16	-25	20	-45	13.8	10.4	3.40	15.3	15.2	0.08

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	65	67	1.03	-0.53	1.55	0.21	28	-23	51	15.1	15.6	-0.44	14.0	10.7	3.32
Carmelo Anthony	89	89	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.42	11	-6	17	14.9	18.0	-3.11	13.1	11.0	2.11
Bryon Russell	44	44	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-2	9	14.8	15.6	-0.82	11.3	14.0	-2.67
Andre Miller	60	62	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-9	23	15.5	15.0	0.44	13.4	12.0	1.41
Francisco Elson	58	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	1	3	14.7	16.0	-1.30	12.8	12.9	-0.15
Nene	83	83	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	8	-11	15.8	13.1	2.74	12.7	13.5	-0.84
Marcus Camby	18	19	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	-2	9	14.9	15.4	-0.48	16.1	12.1	4.02
Earl Boykins	59	58	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.21	-12	17	-29	14.8	15.9	-1.12	11.5	14.5	-2.95
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	5	6	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.04	-7	12	-19	20.4	15.0	5.38	12.3	12.9	-0.52
Rodney White	29	29	-0.61	1.11	-1.72	0.09	-24	29	-53	17.2	14.5	2.64	11.5	13.3	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.44,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.23,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.47,0.36,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, WAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.77,0.59,1	90.2%
CLE 78, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.77,0.91,1	89.8%
MIL 81, CLE 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.58,1	89.2%